Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
This weekend Flemington Racecourse will be host to the Aurie’s Star Handicap 2013, and to help you back the winner of Melbourne’s first new season black type below are the Races.com.au tips on the spring carnival lead-up.
The event runs as Race 7 at 3:10pm (AEST) on Saturday with this year’s $150,000 Group 3 Aurie’s Star Handicap (1200m) drawing a final field of 11 hopefuls.
Of those the current betting markets are led by Riziz at $3.40.
Drawn ideally in gate three the Ken Sweeney-trained Adelaide raider is after their third Melbourne win on the trot.
Most recently they beat a decent field in the Listed All Victorian Sprint Final (1200m) down the Flemington straight and are tipped to repeat that feat this time in better class and retain their flawless record over the track and distance.
There’s also some love for dual Perth Group 1 winner Luckygray who is the market mover at $4.60, 2011 Aurie’s Star winner Temple Of Boom ($5) and the always honest Zamorar ($7.50).
So which of these single-figure chances should you back for the win?
Or can we expect an upset Aurie’s Star Handicap result with a longer priced hopeful such as Australian Guineas winner Ferlax ($11) or perennial place-getter Broken ($11) to take it out?
1st: #6 Zamorar ($7.50)
Expecting a bold showing from this David Bourne-trained galloper who’s drawn for the win in gate four with big race specialist Glen Boss in the saddle. They get in on the 54kg minimum meaning them meet all the others under $10 betting in the weights. With form around some class rivals the five-year-old’s last run at Flemington saw them beaten just a nose before two unplaced runs at Caulfield. The latest was only by 1.6 lengths though when fourth in the Group 3 Bletchingly which we think they can improve on. Third last year and has fitness edge this time.
2nd: #1 Luckygray ($4.60)
Are a dual Group 1 winner over a mile and 1800m back in their former home city of Perth when prepared by Gino Poletti but are first-up over a sprint distance in Melbourne for new trainer Robert Smerdon here adding value to their price. Have plenty of experience in Victoria however including their latest effort when fourth to Black Caviar in the William Reid. They’re a middle-distance champ not a sprinter but have won first-up over this distance before so could do it again against this field – only question is that hefty 60kg top weight though.
3rd: #3 Ferlax ($11)
Have eased out in the markets after opening at $9 which is good news for us who think Jim Conlan’s Australian Guineas winner can be right in the finish here. The four-year-old hasn’t raced since their seventh to It’s A Dundeel in the Randwick Guineas but were a Group 1 champion before that at Flemington so no worries about this track. Are undefeated first-up and while they’re probably going to be better over more metres as they head towards the Cox Plate think top three is well within their reach.
Whether you’re backing or sacking our Flemington Race 7 betting tips this weekend the odds you’re after can be found online at bookmaker.com.au.
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*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from bookmaker.com.au and subject to change
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