Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
The winter carnival action continues with Doomben 10,000 day this Saturday and it looks a really good betting program.
The day starts off a tad slow with a couple of restricted races but it really heats up in the afternoon.
The 2013 Doomben 10,000 is the obvious highlight but there’s some other quality races including the Group 3 Premier’s Cup, the Group 3 Grand Prix Stakes and the Group 2 BRC Sires’ Produce Stakes.
It’s certainly not the easiest day but there looks to be a bit of value around so hopefully we can find a winner.
Race 1 – 11:40am Led Superscreens Brisbane Town Plate (1350m)
#18 Miss Fifi ($21)
#8 Hollywood Bound
A $100,000 maiden to kick things off and not one to be rushing into given there are far better races later in the day. Have actually gone with the second emergency, Miss Fifi, and could be tempted at big odds if she were to get a run. Has finished off well in two starts to date at the Gold Coast and should be winning shortly.
Race 2 – 12:10pm QTIS Three-Years-Old Handicap (1200m)
#8 Tukiyo ($8.50)
#10 Love For Ransom
Tukiyo rises in both class and distance but drawn to get a good run from barrier three. Appears to be on the way up and looks a good show at a decent price to make it four on the trot here.
Race 3 – 12:45pm Brisbane Airport Class 6 Plate (1350m)
#13 Peron ($2.70)
Really like Someday(and was keen to back) but then came a horror barrier 20 draw. Makes it tough at Doomben. Alternatively, the favourite Peron is drawn to get a gun run from barrier three and Patinack’s boom filly is certainly flying.
Race 4 – 1:20pm Group 3 Glenlogan Park Stakes (1350m)
#4 Arinosa ($2.20)
#17 Petty Cury
#8 Risk Aversion
The favourite is short but if she brings anything close to her Sydney form she should be winning. Chris Waller considered running her in the Doomben 10,000 which shows how highly he rates this mare.
Race 5 – 1:55pm Group 2 BRC Sires’ Produce Stakes (1350m)
#6 Le Val ($15)
#2 Octane Flyer
Really, really tricky two-year-old race that will hopefully unveil a few clues heading towards next month’s Group 1 JJ Atkins. At the price, Le Val looks the value runner on the basis of a great win at the Gold Coast in the Ken Russell. Should improve here but has an awkward draw.
Race 6 – 2:30pm Listed Chief De Beers Handicap (1110m)
#7 Griffon ($4.50)
#4 Gundy Son
Griffon had little luck when fourth first-up and can bounce back here. Looks to be plenty of pace on which should have him hitting the line late.
Race 7 – 3:05pm Group 3 Grand Prix Stakes (2200m)
#12 Ambitious Champion ($9)
#8 Rhythm To Spare
Ambitious Champion makes his Australian debut and looks to be a talented stayer. As discussed in this in depth Grand Prix Stakes tipping preview, the replays of his past few runs show he could be a pretty serious racehorse.
Race 8 – 3:40pm Group 1 Doomben 10,000 (1350m)
#5 Epaulette ($5)
#15 Better Than Ready
Epaulette returns after a brief freshen-up following a poor run in the All Aged Stakes. Respectfully disagreeing with my colleague who likes fellow colt Better Than Ready in this comprehensive Doomben 10,000 tips preview. Epaulette should get a gun run from barrier four and was huge behind Black Caviar two starts back in the TJ Smith. See here for why I am opposing the heavily-spruiked favourite Your Song.
Race 9 – 4:20pm Group 3 Premier’s Cup (2200m)
#12 Midsummer Sun ($4)
#15 Less Is More
Imports have an edge in the staying races and Midsummer Sun looks well placed to make it three unbeaten starts in Australia here. A more in-depth Premier’s Cup tips details why I think he is the top winning chance.
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