Your Song Clear 2013 Doomben 10,000 Favourite – Worth Risking?

May 23, 2013

DEPOSIT $100 to get

$250

*In Bonus-bets

View Offers

deposit $50 bet with

$200

*In Bonus-bets

View Offers

deposit $25 to get

$75

*In Bonus-bets

View Offers

deposit $250 to get

$250

*In Bonus-bets

View Offers

Your Song Clear 2013 Doomben 10,000 Favourite – Worth Risking?

The market for Saturday’s Group 1 2013 Doomben 10,000 (1350m) has Sydney colt Your Song as a clear $2.70 favourite.

Your Song has some glaring obstacles to overcome in the BTC Cup. Photo: Steve Hart.

But is it worth taking the short price about the soon-to-be retired Group 1 winner?

There are two glaring factors that suggest the value could be elsewhere in Saturday’s feature sprint, the state of the track and Your Song’s tricky outside barrier draw.

The Barrier

It’s probably fair to say that if Your Song produces a repeat performance of his BTC Cup run the outside alley in the 15-horse field won’t matter.

That sentiment was echoed by jockey Hugh Bowman who had the prime spectator’s seat for Your Song’s BTC Cup when watching the three-year-old fly past him when aboard runner-up Rain Affair.

“I was really travelling and I had just quickened up, yet Your Song just sailed past me and it took me totally by surprise,” Bowman told The Courier Mail.

But if the Anthony Cummings-trained three-year-old is slightly off his game, getting trapped wide and covering extra territory could be the difference between a win and a minor placing.

History is also clearly against the favourite when it comes to his draw. In the past 30 years only Chief De Beers in 1998 has been able to win the race from the outside.

The Track

Is Your Song an out-and-out wet-track bully? Probably not but all three of his career wins have come on wet ground. It is however worth noting that he did run second to Pierro on a Good 3 in last year’s Run To The Rose.

Your Song zipped through the heavy muck at Eagle Farm in the BTC Cup while the majority of his rivals failed to handle it.

The current forecast for Brisbane suggests the Doomben track is likely to be in the Dead range this weekend which probably won’t be detrimental to Your Song, but it certainly improves the chances of his key rivals.

The Verdict

If he repeats his first-up performance he is likely to be winning again but with all else aside, the brilliance of that run was so good that it will be hard to reproduce no matter the conditions.

Your Song’s rivals get more favourable conditions this weekend so that, along with the historically tough barrier draw, means the short price being offered is tough to take.

Think Your Song can overcome the obstacles? Happy to risk? Whoever you like, get great odds on the Doomben 10,000 this weekend at bookmaker.com.au, home of the $500 bonus bet!

Racing fields and data are copyright 2011-2018 © Racing Australia Pty Ltd (RA) (and other parties working with it).
Racing materials, including fields, form and results, is subject to copyright which is owned by RA and other parties working with it. Full copyright notice.

Spring Racing

The Everest 2018 Ultimate Goal...

Capacity 2018 Perth Cup Field ...

Capacity 2018 Perth Cup Field Released

Ascot Racecourse in W.A. hosts one of the summer’s highlight races on New...

2018 The Everest Next Sydney R...

2018 The Everest Next Sydney Race for Viddora

Ace young South Australian trainer Lloyd Kennewell has confirmed his Group 1...

Vega Magic Injured But Still S...

Vega Magic Injured But Still Scaling The Everest 2018

A freak accident in the paddock last month has ruled the Lindsay Park-trained...

Snoopy Could Miss Wet 2017 Geo...

Snoopy Could Miss Wet 2017 George Moore Stakes

Heavy midweek rainfall in Brisbane has put the George Moore Stakes 2017 run of...

Horse Racing Today

Pierata heads up final field f...

Full field of 16 plus 5 emerge...

Full field of 16 plus 5 emergencies for 2018 Magic Millions 2yo Classic

The David Atkins trained Jonker will carry the number one saddlecloth in the...

Pierata chasing huge payday in...

Pierata chasing huge payday in 2018 Magic Millions 3yo Guineas

The Greg Hickman trained three year old Pierata is in the running for a huge...

Magic Millions 2yo Classic fan...

Magic Millions 2yo Classic fancies hoping for middle of the field barriers

Connections of the two favourites for the 2018 $2m Magic Millions 2yo Classic...

Peters has 4 runners in 2017 K...

Peters has 4 runners in 2017 Kingston Town Classic

Prominent Perth owner Bob Peters has four runners to try to give him his fifth...

Race Results

Viewed Victorious in Caulfield Cup

Race 1 Result – $101 500 AGL Renewable Energy Stakes – She’s Got Gears Wins

Race 2 – $101,500 Schiavello Plate – Avienus Wins

Race 3 – $101 500 Lavazza A Modo Mio – Linton Street Wins

Race 4 Results – $151,500 Listed Herald Sun Stakes – Strawberry Field Wins

Race Previews

2009 Caulfield Cup Barrier Draw Announced

Who Are the Top Contenders for Tomorrow’s Caulfield Cup?

Victoria Derby in sight for Onemorenomore

2009 Melbourne Cup Field

Eclipse Stakes Final Field & Preview

Fields & Form

Can Kelinni Win Sydney Cup 2013 for the Punters?

Moroney Gets into Queensland Derby 2013 Rhythm

Buffering Draws 7 – 2013 BTC Cup Final Field and Barrier Draw

SA Fillies Classic 2013 Field Released

13 two-year-olds in 2013 Champagne Classic Field