If the betting market is to be believed, Saturday week’s Group 1 2013 Queensland Oaks (2400m) at Eagle Farm is set to be a race in two.
In the current Oaks market, Sydney filly Dear Demi heads betting at $3.40 but is only slightly ahead of Gondokoro ($3.80) who gave the favourite a serious fright when flying home to force a photo in The Roses (2000m) on Saturday.
So just who has the edge at this stage? Keep reading for a full rundown of the top Queensland Oaks chances.
- Class filly, was a Group 1 winner in the Crown Oaks in the spring
- Has won six of 21 starts, five of which have been at stakes level
- Has beaten Gondokoro in four previous match-ups
- Has she reached her peak? The Oaks will be her eighth start this preparation
- Proved in the spring she can handle plenty of work but the Oaks will be her third race in three weeks. She’ll also run this Saturday against the boys in the Grand Prix Stakes
- Produced a big performance covering plenty of ground to win The Roses on Saturday
- Consistent, emerging filly but yet to win at stakes level
- Has only won once from 12 starts
- Yet to defeat Dear Demi in four previous match ups
- Appears to be on an upward spiral and likely to appreciate the extra distance in the 2400m Oaks
- Nothing went her way in The Roses and she still produced a flying finish to force a photo. Was agitated before the start and received interference which caused her to lose ground early in the race.
- Will go into the Oaks off a two-week break
Out of the two, Gondokoro looks the slightly better bet at this stage given her Roses performance despite some serious bad luck. She’s more likely to have improvement to come but it’s hard to knock Dear Demi who is proven in the top grade and has the runs on the board over Gondokoro.
These two deserve their positions at the top of the market but some ratings experts have questioned the form out of The Roses so it’s worth waiting for the final field next week and perhaps trying to find an emerging galloper at big odds. A couple to consider if keen in the early market could be Gai Waterhouse-trained pair Queenstown ($12) and Porcellanus ($18) who have both produced strong recent performances.