Can Kelinni Win Sydney Cup 2013 for the Punters?

This afternoon the Chris Waller-trained Kelinni will line-up the pronounced favourite in the 2013 Sydney Cup after their good win at the track last Saturday, but can the exciting import handle the seven day back-up and score their first Group 1 success?

Kelinni

Kelinni is the clear favourite to win today's Sydney Cup 2013. Photo: Steve Hart.

The Refuse To Bend five-year-old caught the eye in Sydney last spring winning the Group 3 Colin Stephen Quality (2400m) before their second to Glencadam Gold in the Group 1 The Metropolitan (2400m) at Royal Randwick.

From there they went to Melbourne for the spring and earned a shot at the ‘race that stops a nation’ when taking out the Group 3 Lexus Stakes (2500m) at Flemington on Derby Day.

They were far from disgraced in the Group 1 Melbourne Cup (3200m) just three days later finishing fourth behind Green Moon before being sent out for a spell.

This time in Kelinni has had five runs, hitting good form two back when fourth to Fiveandahalfstar in the Group 1 The BMW (2400m).

From there they ran at Randwick last Saturday carrying a big 60kg weight to victory on a Heavy (10) track in the Listed Japan Racing Association Plate (2000m).

That was not a good distance for them, they had lots on their back and while there wasn’t much in the race it is still being spruiked as an impressive victory and lead-up into today’s $500,000 Group 1 Schweppes Sydney Cup (3200m).

Proven at the two miles and dropping back to 57kg Kelinni is dominating the Sydney Cup betting markets into $2.70 now following this morning’s scratching of one of their major rivals – Chairman’s Quality winner Tremec.

Waller already has enjoyed a Group 1 win today with his impressive import and possible 2013 Cox Plate contender Reliable Man defeating odds-on favourite It’s A Dundeel in the Queen Elizabeth Stakes, the Sydney premiership leading trainer hoping to make it a double with Kelinni.

So is Kelinni really the one to beat? Is all the money rolling in for them going to be paid back to the punters? Below we have a look at the pros and cons of backing the 2013 Sydney Cup favourite.

#4 Kelinni – Horse Form

  • Barrier: 7
  • Jockey: Jim Cassidy
  • Trainer: Chris Waller
  • Owners: Mr F W Cook, Mr I Bruce, G G Ltd, Mr K J Hunt, Mr B L Mathieson, Mr R Smith, Mr R Portaro, Mr G R Stead, Werrett Bloodstock Pty Ltd, EST B A Wright
  • Age: 5YO
  • Gender: Gelding
  • Breeding: by Refuse To Bend from Orinoco
  • Career: 24-9-3-3
  • Win: 37.50%
  • Place: 62.50%
  • Last 6: x59641
  • Prize Money: $934,302
  • Track: 2-1-1-0
  • Distance: 1-0-0-0
  • Current 2013 Sydney Cup Odds: $2.70

Yes – Kelinni Will Win the 2013 Sydney Cup

  • Deserved favourite and market mover in from $3 to $2.70
  • Hall of famer Jim Cassidy rides
  • Come off a strong win at the track last weekend in the wet
  • Will appreciate a firmer track today, more ground and drop back from 60kg to 57kg here
  • Proven two miler having run fourth in last year’s Melbourne Cup
  • Good record at Randwick (2-1-1-0) with a win last start and their Group 1 The Metropolitan second
  • Favourites have a great recent record in the race with six wins in the past decade
  • Second best Win Rate of the field (37.5%)
  • Was fourth in The BMW two back which last year’s Sydney Cup winner Niwot also ran in the lead-up
  • Proved could handle a short back-up with Lexus Stakes – Melbourne Cup in the spring

No – Kelinni Won’t be the Sydney Cup Winner 2013

  • Doubts about what they actually beat last Saturday and how that form will stack up
  • Looked good when fourth in the Melbourne Cup but are they really a two miler having won over just 2000m last weekend
  • Yes they had a three day back up in the spring but still need to pull out a big run with only seven days between runs here
  • Some class stayers in the mix here that could surprise including 2010 Melbourne Cup runner-up Maluckyday ($4.40) and New Zealand Cup winner Blood Brotha ($9)

Whether you’re backing or sacking the Sydney Cup favourite you will get the guaranteed best odds on today’s marquee race online at bookmaker.com.au – home of the famous $500 Bonus Welcome Bet Offer!