Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
This Saturday the Gai Waterhouse-trained Overreach will look to overcome the poor recent record of favourites in the 2013 ATC Sires Produce Stakes and complete the first two legs of the Sydney Autumn 2YO Triple Crown.
Having won the iconic Golden Slipper last Saturday, the Exceed And Excel filly will now look to add the $500,000 Group 1 ATC Sires Produce Stakes (1400m) title to her record the same way her star stablemate Pierro did 12 months ago.
She has the class, the right lead-up form, has come through the Slipper well and a nice barrier six draw for Saturday and as such Overreach dominates the ATC Sires Produce Stakes odds at a quote of $1.60.
While there’s plenty in favour of the young filly here, history also puts a few black marks against her name including the fact just three of the past 10 favourites getting the job done.
So can Overreach salute for her trainer and the punters this weekend? Or is there an upset ATC Sires Produce Stakes result on the cards from the likes of Slipper fourth placed Guelph ($11) or Waterhouse’s $10 second fancy Florid Affair?
#7 Overreach – Horse Form
- Barrier: 6
- Jockey: Tommy Berry
- Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
- Owners: Corumbene Stud Pty Ltd, Mr G Altomonte, Ms L N Smith, Mr G Severino
- Age: 2YO
- Gender: Filly
- Breeding: by Exceed And Excel from Bahia
- Career: 4-3-1-0
- Win: 75%
- Place: 100%
- Last 6: 2×111
- Prize Money: $2,292,800
- Track: 0-0-0-0
- Distance: 0-0-0-0
- Current 2013 ATC Sires Produce Stakes Odds: $1.60
Why Overreach Will Win the ATC Sires Produce Stakes 2013
- Is the one to beat having taken out the benchmark race for her age with a Golden Slipper win last weekend
- Slayed her Slipper rivals with relative ease, a number of which she will face again here
- Should get a nice run from barrier six which has produced three previous winners
- She may not have seen the distance before but 1200m in the wet at Rosehill last weekend isn’t far off 1400m on a drier Randwick track for this
- Slipper winning jockey Tommy Berry stays on, has ridden her for all three of her wins this autumn
- Undefeated this time in having also won the Widden Stakes and Reisling Stakes
- Waterhouse is the most successful ATC Sires Produce Stakes winning trainer with seven victories since 2000
- All seven of Waterhouse’s winners came via a top three finish in the Slipper – three before Overreach taking out the double with Pierro (2007), Sebring (2008) and Dance Hero (2004)
- Aside from #5 So Man Up (100%) who has only had one start she boasts the highest Win Rate of the field with 75%
Why Overreach Won’t be the 2013 ATC Sires Produce Stakes Winner
- Is on a short seven-day back-up so needs to handle that pressure
- Steps up to the 1400m for the first time
- Hasn’t raced at Randwick before
- Favourites have a poor record in the race with just nine wins since 1983
- Half the favourites in the past decade have failed to even run a place
- Fillies have won 12 times since 1983 but six of those were between 1983 and 1993
- A filly hasn’t backed up from a Slipper win to take out the Sires Produce since Merelene (1996)
Believe Overreach can hand Waterhouse with yet another Sires Produce win but think the $1.60 is a little short?
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