Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
While $1.10 for any other horse would seem very short, that price on Australasia’s leading racehorse Black Caviar is actually generous and one rival trainer out to take on the queen in the 2013 TJ Smith Stakes this weekend is Joe Pride.
Pride is preparing to saddle-up his smart Commands five-year-old Rain Affair as one of the 10 rivals that will be out to hand Peter Moody’s turf darling Black Caviar with her first ever loss in the $1 million Group 1 TJ Smith Stakes (1200m) at Royal Randwick on Saturday.
While Moody won’t risk her if the track is wet, which would seem her only weakness as she vies for an impossibly impressive 25th straight turf triumph, Pride believes the six-year-old will still be genuinely tested for the first time in a long while here.
The mighty mare had her last two Group 1 trophies in the bag even before jump time with easy kills against inferior rivals in the Lightning Stakes at Flemington and Moonee Valley’s William Reid Stakes.
Here however she faces five other individual Group 1 winners including last start The Galaxy champion Bel Sprinter and longtime adversary Hay List who pay $9 and $26 respectively in the latest TJ Smith Stakes betting markets.
“It won’t just be a trot and canter like some of the races that Black Caviar has been in,” Pride said.
“If she wins she will certainly earn it, we don’t race in lanes in Sydney, we will be going out there to beat her, try to take her out of her comfort zone.”
Another one of those runners out for an upset TJ Smith Stakes result is then Pride’s Rain Affair at $21, the early market mover drawn in gate fie with Corey Brown to ride.
Second in this race last Sydney Autumn Racing Carnival behind Master Of Design before going on to run another good Group 1 second this time behind Atlantic Jewel in the All Aged Stakes on Sydney Cup Day, Rain Affair hasn’t won a race since last year’s Group 2 Challenge Stakes (1100m).
The did finish a credible fourth in their first-up run on March 23 however when beaten three lengths by Gai Waterhouse’s top colt Pierro in the Group 1 Canterbury Stakes (1300m), an effort Pride is hoping they will improve on this weekend.
“Whether we can (beat Black Caviar) is another story, it isn’t going to be easy but we will roll the dice,” he said.
Think Black Caviar might just be vulnerable on Saturday and want to go Each Way on another runner just in case?
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