Following the downgrade of the course proper at Rosehill to the Heavy range on Friday morning the chances of an upset Queen Of The Turf Stakes 2013 by Red Tracer have increased.
Chris Waller’s super consistent Dane Shadow mare is the current $7 second pick in the markets for the $400,000 Group 1 Inglis Queen Of The Turf Stakes (1500m) behind the Gai Waterhouse-trained More Joyous ($1.45) who shoots for her third straight win in the Golden Slipper Day classic.
There is certainly plenty to suggest the eight-time Group 1 winning More Joyous can get the job done again after she came up trumps with the inside alley and ran a good first-up second behind star stablemate Pierro, favourite for Saturday’s 2013 George Ryder Stakes, in the Group 1 Canterbury Stakes (1300m) last start.
More Joyous however is yet to win on a Heavy track failing in both of her starts in the mud including her worst ever performance when 11th to Sacred Choice in the 2011 Doncaster Mile.
If the track comes back into the Slow range More Joyous is still the one to beat though as she has won four of her five starts on Slow ground, running third in the other to Sepoy in the 2011 Mankiato Stakes.
Still on paper if the rain continues and the Heavy track remains five-year-old Red Tracer is sure to firm in the Queen Of The Turf Stakes odds as she is undefeated on the ground with five wins from as many starts on Heavy tracks.
Red Tracer was last seen coming within a short half-head of $10 Queen Of The Turf rival Appearance in the Group 1 Coolmore Classic (1500m) which came on the back of a Group 3 Mille Fox Stakes (1300m) win at Rosehill on a Heavy (9).
Confident the conditions of Saturday’s race will suit Red Tracer, Waller remains wary of the deserving favourite and knows his mare will have to be at her best from barrier 10 of 11.
“You could say weight-for-age will suit her but then you’ve got More Joyous,” Waller said.
“It’s going to be hard. She hasn’t got the draw she had in the Coolmore. She had barrier one there and got every favour.
“We might just ride her a bit negatively and give her a chance to get some cover and finish the race off.”
Other Queen Of The Turf Stakes hopefuls with good wet track form are Coolmore Classic winner Appearance (3-2-1-0), Guy Walter’s other runner Streama (3-1-1-1), Stradbroke Handicap champ Mid Summer Music (3-2-1-0), Pear Tart who has three wins from as many starts on Heavy ground, and $101 roughie There’s Only One (2-2-0-0).
Paying $12 in the Queen Of The Turf Stakes markets, last year’s Australian Oaks winner Streama is out to improve on her last start seventh in the Coolmore when defeated by three lengths, the Stratum four-year-old well placed for the weekend according to her regular rider Hugh Bowman.
“She’ll run well on Saturday,” Bowman said.
“She is not Sunline, not More Joyous, but had 58 kilograms in the Coolmore and it takes a champion mare to carry that and win that race.
“Her run was excellent and with this rain around she might get conditions to suit.”