Chipping Norton Stakes 2013 Form Guide & Betting Analysis

This Saturday while Newmarket Handicap Day runs in Melbourne, Sydney’s Warwick Farm Racecourse will also be host to some elite level racing with the 2013 Chipping Norton Stakes – the Races.com.au team’s insider form guide and betting preview for which is detailed below.

Shoot Out

Shoot Out is a top chance in the 2013 Chipping Norton Stakes on Saturday. Photo: Steve Hart.

There are 14 smart gallopers engaged in this year’s edition of the $350,000 Group 1 Chipping Norton Stakes (1600m) which is scheduled to run as Warwick Farm Race 6 at 4:20pm (AEST).

In a tight market it is defending Chipping Norton Stakes winner Shoot Out, drawn nicely in gate two as one of six fancies for Chris Waller, who is ahead in the markets at a current quote of $5 to go back-to-back in the autumn classic.

The High Chaparral six-year-old, who runs first-up since their fifth in the Cox Plate, has four Group 1 trophies already in the cabinet and won the Group 1 George Main Stakes first-up over the mile in Sydney last time in.

Other single-figure fancies in the Chipping Norton Stakes odds then include Peter Moody’s resuming star from last autumn Manighar ($5.50) and Kiwi mare Silent Achiever ($6.50).

So where should your money be at this weekend? Which are the horses to back and sack in the Chipping Norton?

To help answer these questions and have you cleaning out the bookies below we have the must know Chipping Norton Stakes facts based on our exclusive field, form guide and betting history analysis.

2013 Chipping Norton Stakes Form Facts & Betting Stats

  • Last year’s Chipping Norton Stakes winner was the Chris Waller-trained Shoot Out who won the race third-up after a second in the Apollo Stakes, jumped from barrier five (of 8) and was ridden by Hugh Bowman
  • This year #3 Shoot Out ($5) is back to defend their title this year drawn in gate two with Bowman back in the saddle, although they are first-up this time
  • Last year’s winning barrier (5) meanwhile belongs on Saturday to #7 Laser Hawk ($9)
  • Barriers 4 – 6 have produced the most winners over the year and along with #7 Laser Hawk (5) those other gates belong this year to #11 Monton (4) and #10 Alma’s Fury (6)
  • Horses coming via a run in the Apollo Stakes (which produced last year’s winner) meanwhile include #10 Alma’s Fury (1st), #14 Tougher Than Ever (2nd), #4 Danleigh (3rd), #8 Kelinni (5th) and #9 Gatewood (6th)
  • #7 Laser Hawk (57.14%) boasts the highest Win Rate of the field followed by #13 Silent Achiever (46.15%) and #9 Gatewood (41.67%)
  • The best place rate also belongs to #7 Laser Hawk (85.71%) followed again by #13 Silent Achiever (76.92%) and then #8 Kelinni (70.00%)
  • There are two last-start winners in this year’s race with #10 Alma’s Fury (Group 2, Apollo Stakes, 1400m, Warwick Farm, 23/02/2013) and #12 Havana Rey (BM95, 1600m, Warwick Farm, 23/02/2013)
  • Only one winner (an $81 roughie) has won at double figures since 1983; there are four single-figure chances in the markets this year with #3 Shoot Out ($5), #1 Manighar ($5.50), #13 Silent Achiever ($9)
  • Those with previous winning form at Warwick Farm are #12 Havana Rey (6-5-0-0), #3 Shoot Out (1-1-0-0), #4 Danleigh (8-2-1-4), #8 Kelinni (3-2-0-0), #10 Alma’s Fury (2-1-1-0) and #11 Monton (6-1-0-1)
  • Over the mile the horses with the best record are then #12 Havana Rey (7-5-1-0), #1 Manighar (2-1-1-0), #2 King Mufhasa (17-6-3-0), #3 Shoot Out (7-3-1-1-), #6 Glencadam Gold (2-2-0-0), #7 Laser Hawk (2-1-0-1) and #13 Silent Achiever (3-2-0-1)
  • There are then four previous winners at the Track & Distance with the past two Chipping Norton winners #3 Shoot Out (1-1-0-0) and #4 Danleigh (4-2-1-1), along with #11 Monton (2-1-0-0) and #12 Havana Rey (5-4-0-0)
  • While Warwick Farm has been upgraded to a Dead (5) if more rain falls there’s a chance of wet track and horses with the best wet track form include #2 King Mufhasa ($13), #4 Danleigh ($12), #10 Alma’s Fury ($21) and #12 Havana Rey ($15)

Stay tuned to Races.com.au to view our Chipping Norton Stakes tips to be published later in the week.

In the meantime why not check out the full range of betting odds and options on all the feature races coming up this weekend by heading along to bookmaker.com.au where all new depositing customers are rewarded with a bonus bet valued at 100 percent of their first investment!

2013 Chipping Norton Stakes Field & Form Guide

Warwick Farm Race 6 – 4:20pm (AEST) – 09/03/2013

No. Horse Trainer Jockey Br. Wgt. AS Days API Career W% P% Last 6
1. MANIGHAR P G Moody Joshua Parr 14 59 7yoG 168 $115,030 31: 10 6 5 32.26% 67.74% 23x26x
2. KING MUFHASA B J Wallace Jason Collett 13 59 8yoG 14 $47,616 58: 20 7 6 34.48% 56.90% 542153
3. SHOOT OUT C J Waller Hugh Bowman 2 59 6yoG 133 $92,623 32: 9 5 5 28.13% 59.38% 2x175x
4. DANLEIGH C J Waller Jimmy Cassidy 9 59 9yoG 14 $42,712 58: 10 7 11 17.24% 48.28% 316×53
5. ALBERT THE FAT C J Waller Brenton Avdulla 12 59 8yoG 14 $34,316 38: 11 3 3 28.95% 44.74% 974×79
6. GLENCADAM GOLD Ms G Waterhouse Kathy O’Hara 11 59 5yoG 14 $39,935 15: 6 2 1 40.00% 60.00% 1106×0
7. LASER HAWK Ms G Waterhouse Nash Rawiller 5 59 4yoG 14 $81,657 7: 4 0 2 57.14% 85.71% 1313×8
8. KELINNI C J Waller Corey Brown 10 59 5yoG 14 $38,475 20: 8 3 3 40.00% 70.00% 1214×5
9. GATEWOOD C J Waller Glyn Schofield 3 59 5yoH 14 $32,381 12: 5 2 1 41.67% 66.67% 2716×6
10. ALMA’S FURY Paul Murray Blake Shinn 6 59 5yoG 14 $17,290 30: 6 2 7 20.00% 50.00% 736211
11. MONTON R J Quinton Christian Reith 4 59 6yoG 14 $17,023 31: 6 2 2 19.35% 32.26% 962950
12. HAVANA REY Bjorn Baker Peter Robl 7 59 4yoG 14 $22,233 19: 7 3 1 36.84% 57.89% 823811
13. SILENT ACHIEVER R A James James Mc Donald 1 57 4yoM 20 $53,004 13: 6 2 2 46.15% 76.92% x414x2
14. TOUGHER THAN EVER C J Waller Kerrin Mc Evoy 8 56 3yoC 14 $25,955 12: 3 2 3 25.00% 66.67% 163×42

*Form Guide Credit – Ladbrokes.com.au

*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from bookmaker.com.au and subject to change