WA Guineas 2012 Form Guide & Betting Analysis

The 2012 WA Guineas is one of three Group race features on the Ascot race card in Perth this Saturday and to help our readers back the winning three-year-old below we have a comprehensive WA Guineas form and betting preview.

Due to jump as Ascot Race 7 at 3:20pm (local time) the $350,000 Group 2 Sky Racing WA Guineas (1600m) field is at capacity with 16 starters, first emergency #17 Apocalypse Now gaining a run for jockey Nash Rawiller after the early scratching of #14 Passion Cantata.

Two horses are currently battling for favouritism in the WA Guineas odds with Luke’s Luck and Antique Belle paying $3.60 and $3.50 respectively.

The two are drawn at opposite ends of the field with Grant Williams’ stakes winning Redoute’s Choice filly Antique Belle on the rails as she looks to improve on her last start third to Fuddle Dee Duddle in the Group 3 Champion Stakes (1600m), and the Trevor Andrews-trained Luke’s Luck – stepping up in distance after a last start third to Railway Stakes favourite Luckygray in the Group 2 Lee Steere Stakes (1400m) – out wide in gate 14.

So will one of the top fancies take out the WA Guineas as King Saul did 12 months ago, or will there be an upset in the Railway Stakes Day feature from a longer-priced hopeful such as Rebelson ($12) or Dominating ($21) who ran 1-2 at the track last start?

To save you time scrolling through the WA Guineas form guide the team at Races.com.au have done the hard work for you and come up with the below must know facts and betting stats on the classic.

2012 WA Guineas Facts & Form Stats

  • Last year’s WA Guineas winner was the Trevor Andrews-trained King Saul who won the race third-up after a fourth in the Fairetha Stakes, jumped from barrier 10 (of 13) and was ridden by interstate hoop Craig Williams
  • This year Andrews will seek back-to-back wins saddling up #17 Apocalypse Now ($21) who has snuck into the field as the first emergency
  • #17 Apocalypse Now has their third career run in the Guineas so is third-up like King Saul was and will also be ridden by a visiting jockey with Nash Rawiller in the saddle
  • Last year’s winning barrier 10 was drawn by #16 Hussy By Choice ($26) who will now get to jump from that gate based on the position of the emergencies
  • Horses coming off the Fairetha Stakes this year meanwhile are #4 Rebelson (1st), #7 Dominating (2nd), #17 Apocalypse Now (3rd), #8 Virtual Trader (4th), #5 Wombie’s Legacy (5th), #6 Saturday Skies (7th) and #3 El Rijes (9th)
  • The Fairetha Stakes has been the best recent guide for the Guineas with 2010 winner Playing God also having run second in that race leading up to their Guineas triumph two years ago
  • Along with Fairetha Stakes winner #4 Rebelson ($12) there are two other last-start winners in the Guineas field this year with #10 Fuddle Dee Duddle (Group 3 Champion Stakes, 1600m, Ascot,  17/11/2012) and #9 Antoccino (3YO Maiden, 1600m, Pinjarra, 11/11/2012)
  • Two horses boast the equal best Win Rate in the field with #4 Rebelson and #8 Virtual Trader ($34) both having won 50% of their starts to date followed by #11 Darlington Abbey (44.44%)
  • The highest Place Percentages meanwhile belong to the two emergencies with both #17 Apocalypse Now (now assured of a run) and $301 outsider #18 Helder The Painter yet to finish out of the money in their short careers; they are followed by #2 Academus (83.33%), #7 Dominating (80%) and #13 Antique Belle (80%)
  • Horses that have the best record at Ascot are #1 Luke’s Luck (8-3-2-1), #10 Fuddle Dee Duddle (12-4-1-3), #11 Darlington Abbey (6-2-1-1), #4 Rebelson (2-1-0-0), #3 El Rijes (9-2-0-0) and #13 Antique Belle (3-1-0-1)
  • Horses with previous winning form over the distance (1600m) are then #3 El Rijes (1-1-0-0), #4 Rebelson (2-1-0-0), #9 Antoccino (2-1-1-0) and #10 Fuddle Dee Duddle (1-1-0-0) who is also the only one in the field to have won over the Track & Distance

Stay tuned to Races.com.au for our insider WA Guineas betting tips to be published shortly.

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2012 WA Guineas Field & Form Guide

Ascot Race 7 – 3:20pm (local time) – 24/11/2012

# Horse Trainer Jockey Br. Wgt. AS Days API Career W% P% Last 6
1. LUKE’S LUCK T M Andrews Shaun Mc Gruddy 14 56.5 3yoC 14 $66,744 8: 3 2 1 37.50% 75.00% 411×23
2. ACADEMUS Peter Snowden Kerrin Mc Evoy 7 56.5 3yoG 14 $28,717 6: 1 3 1 16.67% 83.33% 223×14
3. EL RIJES D T Mcauliffe Peter Hall 6 56.5 3yoR 14 $10,581 14: 3 0 0 21.43% 21.43% 541049
4. REBELSON D T Mcauliffe Jason Whiting 4 56.5 3yoG 14 $17,394 8: 4 0 2 50.00% 75.00% x13311
5. WOMBIE’S LEGACY J J Miller William White 9 56.5 3yoG 14 $13,491 11: 4 0 1 36.36% 45.45% 119×55
6. SATURDAY SKIES E A Martinovich JARRAD NOSKE 11 56.5 3yoG 14 $7,125 12: 2 3 1 16.67% 50.00% 2×3687
7. DOMINATING N D Parnham Brad Parnham 13 56.5 3yoG 14 $28,010 5: 2 1 1 40.00% 80.00% 11×032
8. VIRTUAL TRADER Brett Pope Glenn Smith 8 56.5 3yoG 14 $9,408 6: 3 1 0 50.00% 66.67% 9×2114
9. ANTOCCINO C H Webster Troy Turner 3 56.5 3yoG 13 $2,879 8: 1 2 1 12.50% 50.00% 462321
10. FUDDLE DEE DUDDLE L Smith Paul Harvey 12 54.5 3yoF 7 $21,629 14: 4 2 4 28.57% 71.43% 320371
11. DARLINGTON ABBEY Simon Miller Shaun O’Donnell 18 54.5 3yoF 7 $36,833 9: 4 1 2 44.44% 77.78% x31234
12. KEEPER QUIET D S Pearce Glen Boss 2 54.5 3yoF 7 $31,250 6: 1 3 0 16.67% 66.67% 122×89
13. ANTIQUE BELLE Grant Williams William Pike 1 54.5 3yoF 7 $24,302 5: 2 0 2 40.00% 80.00% 3×1713
14. PASSION CANTATA P H Jordan SCRATCHED 16 54.5 3yoF 7 $12,345 10: 3 1 2 30.00% 60.00% 121507
15. BIPPO NO BUNGUS N D Parnham Steven Parnham 17 54.5 3yoF 7 $9,857 7: 2 2 0 28.57% 57.14% 0x2102
16. HUSSY BY CHOICE Simon Miller Patrick Carbery 10 54.5 3yoF 7 $9,020 5: 2 0 0 40.00% 40.00% 11595
17. APOCALYPSE NOW T M Andrews Nash Rawiller 5 56.5 3yoG 14 $4,550 2: 0 1 1 0.00% 100.00% 23
18. HELDER THE PAINTER Aaron Morton Not Notified 15 56.5 3yoG 16 $810 1: 0 0 1 0.00% 100.00% 3

*Fixed Win odds provided by bookmaker.com.au and subject to change

*Form Guide Credit – Ladbrokes.com.au