2012 Emirates Stakes Form Guide Facts & Betting Stats

The final day of the Melbourne Cup Carnival runs at Flemington Racecourse this Saturday and the meeting’s marquee event is the Emirates Stakes 2012 – form guide facts and a detailed betting analysis for the mile classic detailed below.

Solzhenitsyn

Solzhenitsyn is one of the top fancies in the 2012 Emirates Stakes on Saturday

Set to run as Flemington Race 6 at 3:00pm (AEST) the $1 million Group 1 Emirates Stakes (1600m) originally drew a capacity field of 16 starters plus four emergencies this year.

However the first emergency #17 Free Wheeling has earned a call-up after the early scratching of #9 Streama.

The steady Emirates Stakes betting favourite then is Fawkner ($4.60).

Draw in gate three the ultra-consistent Lloyd Williams-owned five-year-old has won their past four races on the trot most, the quartet all run and won at Flemington, the most recent of which was a one and three quarter length romp over Free Wheeling in the Group 3 Tab.com.au Stakes (1400m) on Derby Day.

Other single-figure fancies in the Emirates Stakes betting markets then include Toorak Handicap winner Solzhenitsyn ($6), Gai Waterhouse’s last-start Epsom Handicap champ Fat Al ($7), Epsom runner-up Ambidexter ($8), the fellow Peter Snowden-trained Free Wheeling ($9) and Roger James’ Kiwi raider He’s Remarkable ($9.50).

With such an open field full of livewire chances the team at Races.com.au have gone over the Emirates Stakes 2012 field, form guide and betting history to come up with the must know facts and stats on the feature to help you lock in the winning trifecta online at bookmaker.com.au!

2012 Emirates Stakes Facts & Betting Stats

  • Last year’s Emirates Stakes winner was the Chris Waller-trained $16 outsider Albert The Fat who came off a second in the Group 3 Betfair Stakes, jumped from barrier 9 (of 16), and was ridden by Mark Zahra on 54kg
  • This year Waller and Zahra are without a representative and the only horse to come via the Betfair is the last emergency #20e Strike The Stars ($51) who finished ninth in the Caulfield Cup Day race
  • Last year’s winning barrier (9) was drawn by the third emergency #19 Over Quota (9), it will however belong to #2 Happy Trails ($15) if all the emergencies come out
  • There is only one horse that is weighted on 54kg and that is first emergency #17 Free Wheeling ($9) who has gained a start
  • #5 Wall Street ($34) meanwhile is a former Emirates Stakes winner having taken out the race back in 2010 as a $25 roughie before running sixth last year
  • In recent years the Emirates has been a race for roughies with four double / triple figure winners in the past five years – Albert The Fat ($16 in 2011), Wall Street ($25 in 2010), All American ($40 in 2009) and Tears I Cry ($100 in 2007)
  • Two horses are prepared by a former Emirates Stakes winning trainer with #8 Secret Admirer (Grahame Begg – All Silent 2008, Bonanova 1999) and #18e Star Of Giselle (Mathew Ellerton – Desert Eagle 2001)
  • There are then four remaining horses to be ridden by a previous Emirates Stakes winning jockey with #4 Solzhenitsyn (Corey Brown – All American 2009), #6 Ambidexter (Kerrin McEvoy – Desert Eagle 2001), #11 Happy Zero (Dwayne Dunn – All Silent 2008) and #15 Smokin’ Joey (Jim Cassidy – Bezeal Bay 1998, Shaftesbury Avenue 1990)
  • The highest Win Rate of the field belongs to #1 Fat Al ($7) with 60% followed by #10 Fawkner (57.14%) and #14 Pear Tart (50.00%)
  • #1 Fat Al also boasts the best Place Percentage (90%) followed by #10 Fawkner (78.57%) and #4 Solzhenitsyn (76%)
  • There are then three last-start winners in the mix, two of which are guaranteed a run, with #1 Fat Al (Group 1 Epsom Handicap, 1600m, Ranwick, 06/10/2012), #10 Fawkner (Group 3 Tab.com.au Stakes, 1400m, Flemington, 03/11/2012) and the second emergency #18e Star Of Giselle (Group 3 Tesio Stakes, 1600m, Moonee Valley, 27/10/2012)
  • Horses with winning form at Flemington include track specialist #10 Fawkner (7-5-1-0), #5 Wall Street (4-1-0-2), #7 He’s Remarkable (1-1-0-0), #16 Spirit Song (1-1-0-0), #15 Smokin’ Joey (7-1-0-0), #18e Star Of Giselle (4-1-1-0) and #19e Over Quota (4-1-0-1)
  • While they are yet to win at the track #3 Playing God (5-0-0-3) has a consistent place rate here as does #8 Secret Admirer (2-0-0-2)
  • Over the mile horses with the best record are then #10 Fawkner (5-4-1-0), #1 Fat Al (3-2-1-0), #4 Solzhenitsyn (5-3-0-2), #7 He’s Remarkable (9-3-2-2), #5 Wall Street (20-9-2-1), #8 Secret Admirer (8-2-1-3), #16 Spirit Song (9-4-3-2) and #18e Star Of Giselle (3-3-0-0)
  • Meanwhile hopefuls that have run top three at the Track & Distance are then #5 Wall Street (3-1-0-1), #10 Fawkner (2-1-1-0), #7 He’s Remarkable (1-1-0-0), #16 Spirit Song (1-1-0-0), #19e Over Quota (2-1-0-0), #20 Strike The Stars (1-0-1-0), #8 Secret Admirer (2-0-0-2) and #3 Playing God (2-0-0-1)

Stay tuned to Races.com.au for our insider Emirates Stakes tips.

Think you’ve already picked the winner based on the above Emirates Stakes facts? Head to our preferred online bookie bookmaker.com.au now and get behind your favourites at the guaranteed best prices in Australia!

2012 Emirates Stakes Field & Form Guide

Flemington Race 6 – 3:00pm (AEST) – 10/11/2012

# Horse Trainer Jockey Br. Wgt. AS Days API Career Win% Place% Last 6
1. FAT AL Ms G Waterhouse Tommy Berry 5 58 4yoG 35 $65,625 10: 6 2 1 60.00% 90.00% 11×231
2. HAPPY TRAILS Paul Beshara Damien Oliver 10 58 5yoG 14 $21,584 28: 4 6 5 14.29% 53.57% x12150
3. PLAYING GOD N D Parnham Steven Parnham 1 58 5yoH 14 $54,488 27: 7 4 6 25.93% 62.96% 346×73
4. SOLZHENITSYN R L Heathcote Corey Brown 2 58 6yoG 14 $24,801 25: 11 2 6 44.00% 76.00% 1×1313
5. WALL STREET M D Moroney Steven Arnold 13 58 8yoG 7 $43,282 36: 11 4 2 30.56% 47.22% 060×73
6. AMBIDEXTER Peter Snowden Kerrin Mc Evoy 7 57 4yoH 14 $31,629 14: 3 3 1 21.43% 50.00% 42×125
7. HE’S REMARKABLE R A James Glen Boss 14 57 5yoH 35 $25,864 21: 6 2 3 28.57% 52.38% 00×053
8. SECRET ADMIRER G M Begg James Mc Donald 20 57 5yoM 7 $56,660 22: 3 5 8 13.64% 72.73% 223503
9. STREAMA G H Walter Hugh Bowman 16 57 4yoM 7 $75,691 17: 7 4 2 41.18% 76.47% 1×3618
10. FAWKNER Robert Hickmott Nicholas Hall 3 56.5 5yoG 7 $35,822 14: 8 2 1 57.14% 78.57% 41×111
11. HAPPY ZERO “M, W and J Hawkes Dwayne Dunn 6 56.5 8yoG 21 $100,071 24: 8 1 4 33.33% 54.17% 053×95
12. ROLLING PIN Ms G Markwell Luke Nolen 19 56 5yoG 7 $17,798 25: 8 4 3 32.00% 60.00% 091137
13. YOSEI S J Webb Michael Rodd 8 56 5yoM 7 $39,563 30: 4 1 3 13.33% 26.67% 067830
14. PEAR TART John Thompson Chris Munce 15 55 4yoM 7 $52,200 12: 6 1 0 50.00% 58.33% 11×720
15. SMOKIN’ JOEY Anthony Freedman Jimmy Cassidy 4 54.5 5yoG 13 $13,976 24: 4 4 0 16.67% 33.33% 0x8504
16. SPIRIT SONG Aaron Purcell Craig Williams 12 54.5 5yoM 14 $22,592 24: 7 7 2 29.17% 66.67% x52223
17. FREE WHEELING Peter Snowden Christian Reith 11 54 4yoH 7 $33,100 13: 3 3 1 23.08% 53.85% 142×12
18. STAR OF GISELLE M Ellerton and S Zahra Craig Newitt 18 52.5 5yoM 14 $23,588 18: 7 4 1 38.89% 66.67% 6×2111
19. OVER QUOTA M C Webb Peter Mertens 9 53.5 7yoG 13 $7,376 47: 9 6 9 19.15% 51.06% 15×426
20. STRIKE THE STARS A J Cummings Vlad Duric 17 52.5 4yoG 21 $28,727 15: 1 3 1 6.67% 33.33% 544×89

*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from bookmaker.com.au and subject to change

*Form Guide Credit – Ladbrokes.com.au