Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
The action of the Melbourne Cup Carnival continues at Flemington Racecourse today with a bumper nine-race program scheduled for 2012 Crown Oaks Day, the Races.com.au team’s insider tips and betting preview for which is detailed below.
The big one on the Flemington race card all the punters will be keen on is of course the $1 million Group 1 VRC Crown Oaks (2500m) which is due to jump as Race 6 at 3:40pm (AEST).
Crown Oaks betting markets this year are led by Anthony Freedman’s last-start Wakeful Stakes winning Zabeel filly Zydeco who is paying $2.10 to win back-to-back spring races.
The other top fancies in the Crown Oaks odds are then the Clarry Conners-trained Dear Demi ($5) and the lightly-raced Ethereal Stakes runner-up Summerbliss ($7) who are drawn in gates 12 and 1 respectively.
It isn’t all about the Crown Oaks however with four other black-type races on the program starting with Race 3 – the $150,000 Listed G.H. Mumm Stakes (1100m) for the mares and continuing through until the $150,000 Listed 50 Years of Fashions on the Field Stakes (1000m) running as Race 8 at 5:10pm (AEST).
To help you clean out the bookies this Crown Oaks Day see below for our insider tips on all nine Flemington races running today.
When you’re ready to place your bets make sure you get a better deal on every horse in every race by betting online with bookmaker.com.au and also make sure you check out their Pick Your Own Odds markets on all of today’s races.
2012 Crown Oaks Day Tips
Race 1 – 12:20pm (AEST) $100,000 Visit Victoria Plate (1700m)
- #1 Moreau ($4.80) from #2 Gladius ($5) and Joplin ($6)
Moreau is a daughter of Snitzel and actually comes back in class having run third in the Group 2 Fillies Classic over the Moonee Valley mile last time out which makes her a nice bet. Matthew Dale’s Canberra filly Gladius has won her two career starts to date and should handle the step up in class and distance here.
Race 2 – 1:00pm (AEST) $100,000 Swisse Wellness Trophy (1800m)
- #3 Commanding Time ($4.60) from #13 Micken ($7.50) and #11 Zaamore ($5.50)
Favourite is hard to go past here, in great form having run second in their past two starts over 2000m and 2200m respectively and will be flying over 1800m. Micken ($7.50) has been in top form and comes off a win at Ballarat but needs to stay out of trouble from that inside draw. Money also coming for Zaamore who is the market mover.
Race 3 – 1:40pm (AEST) $150,000 Listed G.H. Mumm Stakes (1100m)
- #4 Serene Star ($5.50) from #1 Dystopia ($7) and #7 Honey Flower ($13)
Such an open market here really is hard to pick the winner. Serene Star should get a gun run from the inside alley over this distance, black type winner at Caulfield two back and comes off a brave second from the far outside barrier in the Alighi Stakes on Caulfield Cup Day. Dystopia is always honest and has run competitively against harder fields. Honey Flower also has the Glen Boss factor and comes off a good Geelong win.
Race 4 – 2:20pm (AEST) $150,000 Listed Gucci Icons of Heritage Stakes (1200m)
- #4 Agueda ($8) from #11 Sumakaray ($10) and #1 Cavalry Rose ($14)
Like the form on Agueda who was second at Moonee Valley last time out but she has to come from gate 11. Sumakaray is only lightly-raced but this filly from Wodonga was a three length winner at Seymour last time out and can improve. Cavalry Rose is wide (10) and has a big weight (58.5kg) but is a must include in all exotics.
Race 5 – 3:00pm (AEST) $100,000 TCL 3D TV Plate (1400m)
- #10 Arinosa ($3.60) from #14 Run Diego ($19) and #5 Specter ($6.50)
Arinosa has the best form in this field and should continue to impress here with the Chris Waller-trained mare running in Melbourne for the first time since transferring from O’Brien’s care last spring. Run Diego will get a gun run from barrier four and was a good winner at Geelong on October 24. Specter comes off a third at Caulfield in a Listed race on Thousand Guineas Day.
Race 6 – 3:40pm (AEST) $1,000,000 Group 1 Crown Oaks (2500m)
- #2 Zydeco ($2.10) from #1 Dear Demi ($5) and #9 Kate ($41)
Read our comprehensive 2012 Crown Oaks Betting Tips post for all the info on why the favourite is the one to back and why Kate can add value to the trifecta in the big one today.
Race 7 – 4:25pm (AEST) $150,000 Listed Myer Spring Fashion Stakes (1800m)
- #3 Pharomac ($4.20) from #2 Scapolo ($4.20) and #4 Road Trippin ($13)
Two horses paying either $4.20 and it is a flip of the coin really. Only just leaning towards Pharomac who has the better of the three weights and who also gets the right draw (3). Scapolo to run second while Road Trippin can improve here. Kazanluk ($4.40) is just outside our top three based on the big 60kg weight and barrier one over the distance isn’t ideal.
Race 8 – 5:10pm (AEST) $150,000 Listed 50 Years of Fashions on the Field Stakes (1000m)
- #13 I Get Around ($4.20) from #5 It’s Crunch Time ($9) and #1 Golden Archer ($4.60)
I Get Around is the market mover and this is a money trail to follow with Glen Boss in the saddle of this super consistent Snitzel gelding. It’s Crunch Time was good over 955m at Moonee Valley on Manikato Night while Golden Archer has class but gate 15 of 15 over 1000m is a horror draw.
Race 9 – 5:50pm (AEST) – $100,000 Grazia Ultimate Style (1600m)
- #1 Prizum ($5.50) from #7 New York ($3) and #6 Magic Me ($15)
John Sadler-trained six-year-old Prizum winner of the Bairnsdale Cup over the mile two back before their Sale Cup second last time out. Good race for them. New York is also in good form and will like getting up to the 1600m after their narrow second over 1500m at Geelong last start.
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