Anthony Freedman has the Brisbane Winter Racing...
There’s plenty of speculation about the weather heading into Tuesday’s 2012 Melbourne Cup (3200m) which could make it difficult to determine just who to choose in your 2012 Melbourne Cup tips.
The weather can play a major role in the performance of different horses, especially with such a large contingent of European runners, many who have a liking for soft surfaces.
But don’t worry, the Races.com.au team are here to help, bringing you some early selections for no matter what conditions are dished up on race day.
Dry Weather Melbourne Cup 2012 Tips (Track Good or Dead)
#8 Mount Athos $8.50
He’s unknown to many Australians as he’ll be having his first run here in the Cup but this is a seriously talented stayer.
High profile trainer Luca Cumani has kept the Montjeu gelding fresh for the run as he believes that will allow him to perform his best.
Won his final three races in the UK before arriving in Australia, the most recent being a 3 1/2 length drubbing ahead of the well-known Brown Panther in the Group 3 Geoffrey Freer Stakes.
Loves a good track so Cumani will be hoping there is no rain and he gets in well with 54kg.
Cumani described the barrier eight draw as “great” and the horse has reportedly thrived since arriving in Australia.
#2 Americain $5.00
He’s come up a short price but for good reason. The 2010 Cup winner is all class and simply thrives in Australia.
Was running on when fourth in the Caulfield Cup and is big and strong enough to carry the 58kg allocated.
Drawn ideally in barrier 12 and will benefit from the services of gun Australian hoop Damien Oliver.
Would probably prefer it dead to good but can run in all conditions.
#10 Ethiopia $19.00
Four-year-old Australian bred and trained gelding who possesses plenty of talent.
Showed his staying ability in the autumn when producing a last-to-first win in the Australian Derby and showed his versatility in the tough weight-for-age environment when ridden forward to run fourth in the Cox Plate.
Well weighted with just 53.5 kg here and has a reasonable barrier with 14.
Wet Weather Melbourne Cup 2012 Tips (Track Slow or Heavy)
#7 Galileo’s Choice $17.00
“A couple of hours rain on Tuesday would be a big help,” stable representative Mark Weld said today.
“It is critical because I think the track was upgraded to a good 3 this afternoon and that is too quick for us.”
Take not of the above information as if the weather delivers a wet Melbourne Cup this Irish gelding comes right into play.
A genuine form horse who won his two previous starts prior to arriving in Australia. Also goes over the hurdles occasionally back home which is a sure sign he will stay all day.
#2 Americain $5.00
No matter what the conditions, this veteran stayer should be in the mix come race 7 on Tuesday. He’s all class, he’s in form and can run in any conditions.
#11 Fiorente $26.00
The import purchased by Gai Waterhouse with the sole reason of trying to win her first ever Melbourne Cup.
A wet track would definitely help this son of Monsun who produced the best performance of his career on a slow track in the Group 2 Princess Of Wales’s Stakes at Newmarket in July.
On that occasion he stormed to a three-length win ahead of the highly-rated Joshua Tree and last year’s Melbourne Cup runner-up Red Cadeaux.
Gets a lovely weight of just 53.5kg and boom Kiwi jockey James McDonald should be able to find him a nice spot from barrier two.
Whether you agree with our selections or not, head to bookmaker.com.au to ensure you are accessing great Melbourne Cup odds.
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