Cavalry Rose Tipped to Win on Cox Plate Day 2012

Connections of last start Caulfield winner Cavalry Rose are tipping the winning streak to continue at Moonee Valley today when the smart filly lines up in Race 4 on 2012 Cox Plate Day.

Cavalry Rose

Cavalry Rose is out to earn a 2012 Coolmore Stud Stakes run with a win at Moonee Valley today

The Charge Forward three-year-old enjoyed her third win from eight starts two weeks ago on Caulfield Guineas Day, the Gerald Ryan-trained Cavalry Rose holding on in a tight finish to lead-all-the-way and take out the Group 3 Thoroughbred Club Stakes (1200m).

Today she will shoot for back-to-back Group 3 wins when she takes on a classy field of fellow three-year-olds, this time in open company, for the $150,000 Group 3 Telstra PhoneWords Stakes (1200m) – also registered as the Red Anchor Stakes.

Her previous experience and last start win have seen Cavalry Rose, due to jump from barrier five with James McDonald in the saddle, installed as the narrow $3.20 favourite over the lightly-raced Essay Raider ($3.40) in the Red Anchor Stakes odds at bookmaker.com.au.

Originally she was dually nominated for the Cox Plate Carnival having also been entered for the Listed Crockett Stakes (1200m) on Friday evening.

Connections however are confident they have made the right decision keeping her for today’s meeting and especially now with the early scratching of one of her biggest dangers #8 Saturn Rock.

“We double nominated her, had a look at both fields and assessed the pace of the race and strength of nominations,” Triple Crown SyndicationsMichael Ward said on Friday.

“We decided the way she is progressing at the moment she’s a big chance in tomorrow’s race.

“She is thriving. She is doing really well at the moment. She is in a bit of a sweet spot and we expect that to continue as well.”

After making her Melbourne debut last start Ward said they expected improvement from her again at Moonee Valley, Cavalry Rose having picked up racing the opposite way of going without issue.

“She took to the Melbourne leg like a duck to water at Caulfield so Moonee Valley is another tight track which suit horses that go forward with the short straight,” he said.

“We think she will be very well placed there.

“She had always laid out in Sydney and going the other way around really suited her.”

If she performs up to par today there is a chance Cavalry Rose will then progress onto the $500,000 Group 1 Coolmore Stud Stakes (1200m) at Flemington Racecourse next Saturday on Victoria Derby Day.

“There are two options,” Ward said.

“We either look at the Coolmore in seven days’ time assuming she runs well tomorrow or alternatively we can look at the Red Roses on Oaks Day.”

The $150,000 Listed Red Roses Stakes (1200m) would obviously be the easier of the two options, Crown Oaks Day running on Thursday November 8.

Also on target for a Derby Day run is Cavlary Rose’s smart stablemate Hot Snitzel, the fellow Triple Crown-owned galloper out to improve on their fist-up ninth at Randwick on October 20.

“He had a pretty soft run that day,” Ward said of the Snitzel four-year-olds effort in the Listed Lightning Handicap (1100m).

“He struck interference at the back of the field and he will certainly take improvement from the first up effort.

“He will go around either on Derby Day in the (Group 2) Salinger Stakes or alternatively on Melbourne Cup Day (on Tuesday November 6).”

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