2012 Manikato Stakes Form Guide & Betting Analysis

This Friday night a supercharged sprint showdown is on the cards at the Moonee Valley circuit with a smart field engaged for the Manikato Stakes 2012, and to help you back a winner below is our insider Manikato Stakes form guide and betting preview.

Buffering

Buffering is out to become the foruth straight Manikato Stakes winner to jump from barrier one

Due to jump as Moonee Valley Race 9 at 9:15pm (AEST) this year’s $750,000 Group 1 Manikato Stakes (1200m) has drawn a final field of 10 hopefuls, the hot favourite of which is Rob Heathcote’s always honest Brisbane raider Buffering.

The Mossman five-year-old, undefeated this time in with two Group 2 wins in Melbourne most recently in the Schillaci Stakes over 1000m at Caulfield, has entered odds-on territory in the Manikato Stakes odds at bookmaker.com.au having been backed into $1.95.

Without the likes of Hay List and Black Caviar raining on his parade this spring finally looks the right time for Buffering to break their Group 1 maiden status, Heathcote and jockey Hugh Bowman hoping that will happen under the lights on Friday evening.

“His will to win,” Bowman said of Buffering.

“I thought his improvement from the Moir to the Schillaci was excellent and if he can take a bit more improvement out of that he’ll be very hard to beat on Friday night.”

But they still have nine rivals to defeat including a BTC Cup – Doomben 10,000 winner Sea Siren ($6.50) who has gotten the better of Buffering at elite level before, so the job’s not done yet.

To help you decide whether to back or sack the favourite in the Manikato Stakes betting markets we have gone over the field, form and stats on the race and come up with the below must know Manikato Stakes facts.

2012 Manikato Stakes Form Facts & Betting Stats

  • Last year’s Manikato Stakes winner was the then Peter Snowden-trained Sepoy who came off the Vain Stakes – Danehill Stakes winning double, jumped form barrier 1 (of 8) and was ridden by Kerrin McEvoy
  • McEvoy is also one of three jockeys to boast three Manikato Stakes wins to date, the others are Damian Oliver and Darren Beadman – neither of which is riding in the race this year
  • This year Snowden will vie for back-to-back wins with #6 Mental ($14) out wide in barrier 9 (of 10) who will have last year’s winning hoop McEvoy in the saddle
  • Last year’s winning barrier 1, which has actually produced the past three Manikato Stakes winners, meanwhile belongs on Friday night to the hot favourite #1 Buffering ($1.95)
  • #1 Buffering has, like Sepoy had, also won his two opening spring runs leading up to the Manikato
  • The only other last start winner from this season is #8 Hallowell Belle ($16) who took out the Group 2 Gilgai Stakes (1200m) first-up at Flemington on October 6, while #6 Mental (Listed Daybreak Lover Stakes, 1600m, Eagle Farm, 09/06/2012) won their last start before a spell
  • Nine of the Manikato Stakes winners since 1997 all placed at their previous run; four horses have not done that this year ruling out #2 Temple Of Boom (5th), #5 Bel Sprinter (5th), #7 Sea Siren (9th) and #10 Lone Rock (7th) this year
  • While they won their last start #6 Mental resumes from a spell in the Manikato and only six winners since 1997 have won the Manikato first-up
  • Favourites have won five of the past 10 Manikato Stakes aiding #1 Buffering’s cause as the top fancy this year
  • Over the past decade only one Manikato Stakes winner has jumped at more than $8.50 with Danleigh ($16 in 2009)
  • The only other runners aside from the favourite #1 Buffering ($1.95) under $8.50 in the Manikato Stakes this year are #7 Sea Siren ($6.50) and #10 Lone Rock ($8)
  • #7 Sea Siren also boasts the highest Win Rate of the field with 62.50% followed closely by #6 Mental (60.0%) and then #5 Bel Sprinter (54.55%)
  • The best place percentage then belongs to #8 Hallowell Belle (93.75%) followed by #7 Sea Siren (87.50%) and then #1 Buffering (78.57%)
  • At the Moonee Valley track the horses with the best record are #1 Buffering (4-2-0-1), #5 Bel Sprinter (2-2-0-0) and #10 Lone Rock (6-1-1-1)
  • The bulk of the field is well performed over the distance including #1 Buffering (17-6-5-3), #7 Sea Siren (5-4-0-1), #4 Ready To Rip (10-4-1-1), #5 Bel Sprinter (3-1-1-0) and #8 Hallowell Belle (8-2-3-3)
  • Two horses then having winning form over the Track & Distance with #1 Buffering (3-1-0-0) who won the Group 2 AJ Moir Stakes (1200m) here first-up on September 28, and #10 Lone Rock (4-1-0-1) who won the Group 3 Champagne Stakes (1200m) as a three-year-old back in September of 2010

Whether you are getting behind Buffering or backing one of their rivals for an upset Manikato Stakes result the best prices for all the Moonee Valley races can be found online at bookmaker.com.au.

They also have all the best betting promos for the spring punters starting with a generous $400 Bonus Welcome Bet – follow the link to find out more now!

2012 Manikato Stakes Field & Form Guide

Moonee Valley Race 6 – 9:15pm (AEST) – 26/10/2012

# Horse Trainer Jockey Br. Wgt. AS Days API Career Win% Place% Last 6
1. BUFFERING R L Heathcote Hugh Bowman 1 58.5 5yoG 13 $74,889 28: 11 7 4 39.29% 78.57% 122×11
2. TEMPLE OF BOOM T J Gollan Corey Brown 7 58.5 6yoG 13 $35,932 33: 10 4 6 30.30% 60.61% 1935×5
3. WE’RE GONNA ROCK M A Kavanagh Michael Rodd 10 58.5 6yoG 26 $33,112 16: 5 3 0 31.25% 50.00% 162×12
4. READY TO RIP P G Moody Luke Nolen 4 58.5 5yoG 28 $21,900 21: 7 4 2 33.33% 61.90% 2×1132
5. BEL SPRINTER Jason Warren Ben Melham 2 58.5 5yoG 20 $37,620 11: 6 1 0 54.55% 63.64% 649×15
6. MENTAL Peter Snowden Kerrin Mc Evoy 9 58.5 4yoG 139 $35,506 10: 6 0 1 60.00% 70.00% x1151x
7. SEA SIREN J A O’shea Jimmy Cassidy 5 56.5 4yoM 139 $110,416 8: 5 1 1 62.50% 87.50% 12119x
8. HALLOWELL BELLE Ms G Waterhouse Nash Rawiller 3 56.5 4yoM 20 $48,908 16: 3 6 6 18.75% 93.75% 1333×1
9. SATIN SHOES C E Conners James Mc Donald 6 56.5 4yoM 20 $34,780 20: 5 5 2 25.00% 60.00% 00×322
10. LONE ROCK R W Smerdon Mark Zahra 8 56.5 5yoM 13 $31,009 19: 4 2 3 21.05% 47.37% 5044×7

*Form Guide Credit – Ladbrokes.com.au

*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from bookmaker.com.au and subject to change