This Saturday the headline attraction at Royal Randwick will be the 2012 Epsom Handicap, the Races.com.au team’s exclusive form guide and betting preview for which is detailed below.
Rolling Pin comes via the same race that produced last year's Epsom winner having taken out the Shannon Stakes
One of the premier races of the Sydney Spring Racing Carnival, the $500,000 Group 1 The Star Epsom Handicap (1600m) has this year attracted a final field of 15 gallopers that will face off in Race 7 at 4:00pm.
In the latest Epsom Handicap odds at bookmaker.com.au there are five horses under $10 to win, the favourite being the Gai Waterhouse-trained 52kg lightweight Fat Al ($4.80).
According to the Epsom betting markets Fat Al’s main dangers out to stop the four-year-old from winning their first elite level and his trainer from equaling her late father’s record of seven Epson winners are then the Chris Waller-trained duo of Shoot Out ($5.50) and Rangirangdoo ($7.50) who ran the George Main Stakes quinella last time out.
To see whether it is best sticking with the favourites or trying your luck with a longer priced contender such as defending Epsom champ Secret Admirer ($8.50), below we have the best 2012 Epsom Handicap form guide facts and betting stats.
2012 Epsom Handicap Form Facts & Betting Stats
- Last year’s Epsom Handicap winner Secret Admirer came into the race off a fourth in the Shannon Stakes, jumped from barrier 16 (of 17) and was ridden by Brenton Avdulla with 52.5kg
- This year #3 Secret Admirer ($8.50) is back to defend her title off a third in the George Main Stakes, drawn in barrier 9 (of 15) with James McDonald to ride carrying 54kg
- Last year’s winning jockey Brenton Avdulla meanwhile will ride #12 Tagus ($51) while #2 Rangirangdoo ($7.50) #11 Wild And Proud ($19) have drawn the two outside gates
- Other horses to be ridden by a former Epsom winning jockey this year are then #13 Said Com (Corey Brown) and #14 Lightinthenite (Jim Cassidy)
- Horses that come via the Shannon Stakes this year are then #7 Rolling Pin (1st) and #8 Fat Al (3rd)
- Last year Secret Admirer was the first mare since La Neige (1976) to win the Epsom and this year she is one of just two females in contention along with #5 Yosei ($15)
- Gai Waterhouse is out to equal her father TJ Smith’s record as the most successful Epsom Handicap trainer in history with seven wins on Saturday – her runners this year are the favourite #8 Fat Al ($4.80), #9 Kontiki Park ($21) and #11 Wild And Proud ($19)
- Other horses prepared by a former Epsom winning trainer this year are #3 Secret Admirer (Grahame Begg), and the John Sadler-trained duo of #14 Lightinthenite ($14) and #15 Gangster’s Choice ($61)
- #8 Fat Al ($4.80) easily has the best Win Rate with 55.56% followed by #14 Lightinthenite (45.45%)
- The best Place Percentages then belong to #8 Fat Al (88.89%), #13 Said Com (81.82%) and #14 Lightinthenite (81.82%)
- Horses with the best Randwick track record are #1 Shoot Out (7-4-1-0), #2 Rangirangdoo (10-4-3-1), #3 Secret Admirer (6-2-0-3), #8 Fat Al (2-2-0-0) and #14 Lightinthenite (1-1-0-0)
- Over the mile horses with the best strike rate are #1 Shoot Out (6-3-1-1), #2 Rangirangdoo (11-5-3-1), #3 Secret Admirer (6-2-1-2), #7 Rolling Pin (5-2-0-0), #8 Fat Al (2-1-1-0) and #9 Kontiki Park (8-4-4-0)
- Meanwhile horses to have won over the Track & Distance before are #1 Shoot Out (3-2-1-0), #2 Rangirangdoo (5-2-2-0), #3 Secret Admirer (4-2-0-1), #8 Fat Al (1-1-0-0) and #12 Tagus (4-1-0-0)
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2012 Epsom Handicap Field & Form Guide
Royal Randwick Race 7 – 4:00pm – 06/10/2012
| # | Horse | Trainer | Jockey | Br. | Wgt. | AS | Days | API | Career | Win% | Place% | Last 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | SHOOT OUT | C J Waller | Hugh Bowman | 10 | 58 | 6yoG | 14 | $94,965 | 30: 9 5 5 | 30.00% | 63.33% | 2132×1 |
| 2. | RANGIRANGDOO | C J Waller | Nash Rawiller | 14 | 57.5 | 8yoG | 14 | $73,571 | 30: 10 9 2 | 33.33% | 70.00% | 604×42 |
| 3. | SECRET ADMIRER | G M Begg | James Mc Donald | 9 | 54 | 5yoM | 14 | $62,712 | 19: 3 5 7 | 15.79% | 78.95% | 83×223 |
| 4. | MONTON | R J Quinton | Kathy O’Hara | 13 | 53 | 6yoG | 17 | $19,258 | 26: 6 1 2 | 23.08% | 34.62% | 00×689 |
| 5. | YOSEI | S J Webb | Glyn Schofield | 3 | 52.5 | 5yoM | 14 | $42,440 | 27: 4 1 2 | 14.81% | 25.93% | 83×067 |
| 6. | AMBIDEXTER | Peter Snowden | Kerrin Mc Evoy | 4 | 52 | 4yoH | 21 | $28,108 | 12: 3 2 1 | 25.00% | 50.00% | 4442×1 |
| 7. | ROLLING PIN | Ms G Markwell | Christian Reith | 5 | 52 | 5yoG | 7 | $16,911 | 23: 8 4 2 | 34.78% | 60.87% | x30911 |
| 8. | FAT AL | Ms G Waterhouse | Tommy Berry | 6 | 52 | 4yoG | 7 | $39,028 | 9: 5 2 1 | 55.56% | 88.89% | 111×23 |
| 9. | KONTIKI PARK | Ms G Waterhouse | Nathan Berry | 2 | 52 | 7yoG | 17 | $19,105 | 30: 8 9 2 | 26.67% | 63.33% | 76×126 |
| 10. | SOMEPIN ANYPIN | G Portelli | Jay Ford | 11 | 52 | 5yoG | 14 | $20,768 | 17: 6 3 1 | 35.29% | 58.82% | 20×348 |
| 11. | WILD AND PROUD | Ms G Waterhouse | Peter Robl | 15 | 52 | 4yoG | 14 | $22,057 | 12: 3 0 5 | 25.00% | 66.67% | 103×03 |
| 12. | TAGUS | John Thompson | Brenton Avdulla | 7 | 52 | 8yoG | 17 | $12,157 | 45: 10 1 9 | 22.22% | 44.44% | 3×7715 |
| 13. | SAID COM | C J Waller | Corey Brown | 12 | 52 | 4yoG | 14 | $25,564 | 11: 3 4 2 | 27.27% | 81.82% | 7×1362 |
| 14. | LIGHTINTHENITE | J A O’shea | Jimmy Cassidy | 1 | 52 | 5yoG | 17 | $20,882 | 11: 5 2 2 | 45.45% | 81.82% | 5x13x2 |
| 15. | GANGSTER’S CHOICE | J A O’shea | Jason Collett | 8 | 52 | 5yoG | 14 | $11,216 | 15: 5 4 1 | 33.33% | 66.67% | 1×1342 |
*Form Guide Credit – Ladbrokes.com.au
*All odds quoted are fixed win from bookmaker.com.au and subject to change
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