Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
This Saturday’s feature race in Melbourne will be the Sir John Monash Stakes 2012 at Caulfield and below the Races.com.au team takes a look at the latest betting moves to see where the money is at for the weight-for-age classic.
Odds on the $100,000 Listed Sir John Monash Stakes (1100m), running as Caulfield Race 6 at 3:07pm on Saturday, have been adjusted this morning following the early scratching of #14 Night War.
The dual Group winning General Nediym filly was scheduled to make her Melbourne and new season debut for new trainer Mick Price in the Sir John Monash Stakes, Night War not having raced wince her Magic Millions 3YO Stakes win in Perth when prepared by Simon Miller back in February.
With the course proper at Caulfield Racecourse rated a Slow (7) with a downgrade to Heavy before tomorrow likely however Price has made the decision to hold off on Night War’s return.
The three-year-old was paying around $9.00 in the Sir John Monash Stakes odds, Price still to be represented by Anabaa mare Tariana who comes off a four and a half length win at the track and distance on a Slow (7) a fortnight ago.
Tariana has come in from $9.50 to $9.00 following the withdrawal of their new stablemate, the scratching also paving the way for $101 roughie Royal Rambler to gain a start.
The two biggest Monash Stakes betting market movers however are last year’s runner-up Rue Maple who has come right in from $13 to $9 to go one better this year, and outsider Royal Bender cut from $41 to $26.
Darren Weir’s classy Rubiton mare Rue Maple suffered a wide barrier draw but with the wet weather in Melbourne seeking a likely Heavy track, being away from the rails is looking more advantageous.
Rue Maple’s stablemate Royal Bender meanwhile comes off two great winter runs with a big two and a half length victory at Sandwon in May, and a last start second to Griffon at Eagle Farm it he Listed Lightning Handicap on June 9.
They go well fresh, boast a good place rate and can handle a Slow (5-3-1-0) track.
Other horses that have come in include 2011 Oakleigh Plate winner Eagle Falls ($8 into $7.50) and local hope Second Effort ($8 into $7).
There has also been some early money come in for Australian Guineas third placegetter Mister Milton in from $31 to $21 for their new season return.
Hopefuls that have then eased out in their Sir John Monash Stakes price include Scandal Keeper three-year-old Zamorar now at $8 from $7, and Leon Corstens’ six-year-old sprinter Alpha Proxima who is right out from $19 to $26.
Meanwhile untapped filly Le Societe remains the steady $5 favourite for the in-form trainer-jockey combo of Peter Moody and Luke Nolen.
See below for the complete 2012 Sir John Monash Stakes betting market moves, fixed win odds courtesy of bookmaker.com.au.
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2012 Sir John Monash Stakes Betting Moves
Caulfield Race 6 – 3:07pm – 12/07/2012
#1 Green Birdie – Steady at $17
#2 Eagle Falls – $8 into $7.50
#3 Secret Flyer – Steady at $26
#4 Second Effort – $8 into $7
#5 Alpha Proxima – $19 out to $26
#6 Hot Spin – Steady at $19
#7 Zamorar – $7 out to $8
#8 Mister Milton – $31 into $21
#9 Grand Britannia – Steady at $51
#10 Avienus – Steady at $41
#11 Rue Maple – $13 into $9
#12 Royal Bender – $41 into $26
#13 Tariana – $9.50 into $9
#14 Night War – Scratched
#15 Platelet – $11 out to $13
#16 Le Societe – Steady at $5
#17 Royal Rambler – Steady at $101
*Fixed Win odds provided by bookmaker.com.au and subject to change
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