The always popular Roma Cup 2012 will take place at Perth’s Belmont Racecourse this Saturday, the Races.com.au team’s exclusive betting tips and selections for which are detailed below.
There are now just eight sprinters set to face off in Belmont Race 7 at 4:05pm for this year’s edition of the $125,000 Group 3 D’ORsongna Roma Cup (1200m) following the early scratching of third favourite #8 Power Princess (7).
The Simon Miller-trained Marwina mare, third to superstar Black Caviar in the Group 1 Robert Sangster Stakes (1200m) back in April, pulled up below par after trackwork on Wednesday and has since been officially scratched.
Among the remaining contenders in the 2012 Roma Cup field is two time champ Grand Nirvana.
Fred Kersley’s Scenic six-year-old Grand Nirvana currently occupies the second line of Roma Cup betting at bookies around the country paying around $3.70.
Two failed Group 1 runs in Melbourne during the summer – autumn season and the champ is back at home ready for a big run that if successful would see them enter the history books as a triple Roma Cup winner having taken out the race in 2009 and 2011.
Sitting at the top of the Roma Cup odds at a firming price of around $2.10 is then the Gino Poletti-trained Luckygray.
The Bradbury’s Luck four-year-old was the controversial winner on protest of the Group 1 Railway Stakes (1600m) at Ascot last November which was their seventh win.
At career start number 10 last time out on December 3 the consistent grey didn’t handle the step up to 1800m after a long prep and could only manage to finish three and a half lengths away fifth to Playing God in the Group 1 Kingstown Town Classic (1800m).
While it has been quite a time off for Luckygray, Poletti is confident they are fit enough to retain their unbeaten first-up status on Saturday.
“He is definitely a stronger and bigger horse who is holding his weight which he wasn’t able to do previously,” Poletti said.
“He has done everything I could have asked of him and he will be forward enough to run a race.
“The 1200-metres is the danger and he will be giving them a start when turning for home.
“But he is right on the mark and there will be no excuses given if he gets beaten.”
Other early favourites according to the bookies’ markets include Grant Williams’ progressive mare Avante and last year’s WA Oaks – WATC Derby double winner Dreamaway.
So is it one of the shorties in the market the Races.com.au crew has rated special to win Saturday’s Roma Cup?
Or are we tipping an upset with one of the longer-priced hopefuls including last start Listed HG Bolton Sprint winner Zester or the Stephen Wolfe-trained Our Ol’ Fella coming off a third in the HG Bolton.
See below for the Roma Cup horses we are backing and sacking this year, then when you’re ready to place your bets head to our preferred online betting agency bookmaker.com.au.
Belmont Race 7 Betting – Roma Cup Tips
- A Group 1 winner
- Undefeated over the distance with four wins from as many starts
- Unbeaten first up (2-2-0-0)
- Winner at the track back in September over this distance
- Most consistent horse in the field with an 80% Win and Place rate
- Wider draw but small field shouldn’t matter
- Class horse here
- Needs to handle the 58.5kg
- Adds value to the Roma Cup Trifecta
- Over the odds for us
- Gets a draw in gate 4
- Beat a number of these in the HG Bolton Sprint over this track and distance last time out
- One of the best tired both at the track (17-4-1-6) and distance (13-4-0-3)
- Was the best 3YO filly of the season last year
- Group 1 winner in the WATC Derby
- Needs to recapture that form
- Can she produce as a 4YO?
- Ignore recent runs when outclassed and out of her comfort zone in Melbourne
- Will be better back in WA
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