Doomben Cup 2012 Form Guide & Betting Preview

This Saturday the latest Group 1 race of the Brisbane Winter Racing Carnival will take centre stage at Doomben Racecourse with a talented field of stayers and Melbourne Cup types to face off in the 2012 Doomben Cup, the Races.com.au team’s exclusive form and betting analysis for which is detailed below.

Dual defending champ Scenic Shot shoots for their third Doomben Cup win on Saturday

Due to jump at 3:50pm as Doomben Race 7 the $500,000 Group 1 Kirks Doomben Cup (2000m) has attracted a top class field of 13 gallopers this year headed by Peter Moody’s ace import Manighar.

A triple Group 1 winner under Moody this season, Manighar was last seen running a brave second to champion mare More Joyous in the Group 1 Queen Elizabeth Stakes (2000m) on Sydney Cup Day.

The former Luca Cumani-trained grey reunites with jockey Luke Nolen who rode them for their opening five runs under Moody including their elite level victories in the Australian Cup, Ranvet Stakes and The BMW.

Unsurprisingly Manighar is dominating the Doomben Cup odds at bookmaker.com.au paying $2.20 to win after drawing on the rails in barrier one for Saturday’s clash.

So who are their main dangers?

The bookies are rating three other Doomben Cup horses as a genuine chance with boom Kiwi mare Shez Sinsational ($5.50), Moody’s one-time Caulfield Cup fancy Lights Of Heaven ($6) and Anthony Freedman’s up-and-comer Mawingo ($8.50).

So does Manighar already have the Doomben Cup in the bag like the markets suggest?

Do the bookies have it right for the Doomben Cup trifecta and first four selections?

Or is there more value to be found in a double-figure roughie such as dual defending champ Scenic Shot ($16), or the Chris Waller-trained improver Foreteller ($14)?

To help you pick the Doomben Cup winner we have done the hard work for you and after going over the full race form, betting history and stats come up with the below need to know Doomben Cup facts.

2012 Doomben Cup Form Facts & Betting Stats

  • Last year’s Doomben Cup winner Scenic Shot came off a third in the Hollindale Stakes, jumped form barrier 2 (of 9) and was ridden by Shane Scriven
  • #2 Scenic Shot ($16) is back to defend their title and this year out for their third straight Doomben Cup victory, they come off a fifth in the Hollindale, have drawn barrier four and will again be ridden by Scriven
  • If successful on Saturday dual defending champ Scenic Shot will join Rough Habit as the only other triple Doomben Cup winner
  • Scenic Shot is also the only horse to have won at Doomben before (3-2-0-0)
  • The only others that have had a run at the track previously are then #3 Triple Honour (4-0-0-1), #7 Saint Encosta (2-0-0-0) and #8 Mr Light Blue (3-0-1-0)
  • Horses with the best record over the distance are #1 Manighar (3-2-1-0), #10 Shez Sinsatonal (4-3-1-0), #4 Wall Street (4-1-0-0), #5 Booming (9-2-2-1), #6 Foreteller (3-1-0-0),  #8 Mr Light Blue (1-1-0-0), #9 Mawingo (3-1-0-1), and #11 Lights Of Heaven (3-1-0-1)
  • Other Doomben Cup hopes coming via the Hollindale Stakes this year include #10 Shez Sinastional (1st), #11 Lights Of Heaven (2nd), #9 Mawingo (3rd) and #6 Foreteller (4th)
  • Last year’s winning barrier (2) belongs on Saturday to #13 Fibrillation ($31)
  • #10 Shez Sinsational ($5.50) boasts the highest Win Rate of the field with 42.86% followed by #11 Lights Of Heaven (36.36%) and #1 Manighar (35.71%)
  • Horses with the best Place Percentages are then #10 Shez Sinsational (80.95%) and #9 Mawingo (77.78%)
  • #10 Shez Sinsational (Group 2 Hollindale Stakes, 1800m, Gold Coast, 05/05/2012) is the only one coming off a last-start win
  • Only five favourites have won the Doomben Cup in the past 20 years most recently Metal Bender (2010); this year #1 Manighar ($2.20) will jump the favourite

Stay tuned to Races.com.au for our insider Doomben Cup betting tips and selections to be published later in the week.

Already got your own picks that you want to lock in now before prices firm?

Then head to bookmaker.com.au and place your bets.

Remember also that bookmaker.com.au are currently running a hot welcome offer to new customers, rewarding them with a $300 bonus bet when they sign up and quote the code BONUSBET!

2012 Doomben Cup Field & Form Guide

Doomben Race 7 – 3:50pm – 19/05/2012

# Horse Trainer Jockey Br. Wgt. A/S Days API Career Win% Place% Last 6
1. MANIGHAR P G Moody Luke Nolen 1 59 6yoG 21 $123,354 28: 10 5 4 35.71% 67.86% 131112
2. SCENIC SHOT D L Morton Shane Scriven 4 59 9yoG 14 $42,618 71: 17 7 8 23.94% 45.07% x80035
3. TRIPLE HONOUR R L Heathcote Damian Browne 13 59 7yoG 14 $43,568 51: 7 8 5 13.73% 39.22% 7×4227
4. WALL STREET M D Moroney Jimmy Byrne 8 59 7yoG 14 $46,402 33: 11 4 1 33.33% 48.48% x63606
5. BOOMING J R Lynds Jeff Lloyd 3 59 7yoG 24 $14,142 36: 8 7 2 22.22% 47.22% 508244
6. FORETELLER C J Waller Corey Brown 9 59 5yoG 14 $18,251 22: 7 0 1 31.82% 36.36% 15×064
7. SAINT ENCOSTA John Thompson Glyn Schofield 10 59 5yoG 14 $7,468 30: 2 4 2 6.67% 26.67% 0266×3
8. MR LIGHT BLUE B S Baldwin Timothy Bell (a) 7 59 4yoG 14 $8,113 24: 6 6 4 25.00% 66.67% 117100
9. MAWINGO Anthony Freedman Nash Rawiller 5 59 4yoH 14 $18,744 9: 3 1 3 33.33% 77.78% 4x5x13
10. SHEZ SINSATIONAL S A Sharrock Opie Bosson 11 57 4yoM 14 $38,863 21: 9 5 3 42.86% 80.95% 013111
11. LIGHTS OF HEAVEN P G Moody Damien Oliver 6 57 4yoM 14 $46,835 11: 4 2 1 36.36% 63.64% 930×72
12. ABSOLUTELY M C Kent Brad Rawiller 12 57 4yoM 28 $33,536 14: 1 3 2 7.14% 42.86% 60×509
13. FIBRILLATION T R Martin Brenton Avdulla 2 57 4yoM 21 $24,381 17: 4 3 2 23.53% 52.94% 579112

*Form Guide Credit – Ladbrokes.com.au

*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from bookmaker.com.au and subject to change