While all the talk in Adelaide racing circles this week has been about the confirmation champion mare Black Caviar will run in the Robert Sangster Stakes next weekend, there is still a decent meeting at Morphetville tomorrow that is highlighted by the 2012 SA Sires’ Produce Stakes.
The $115,000 Group 3 event will see an 11-horse field of two-year-olds battle it out over 1400 metres in the fourth race of the day in Adelaide.
Three horses are tough to split at the top end of the bookmaker.com.au market, with Chosen Moment the slight favourite ($3.40) ahead of Road Trippin and Big Chill who are both sitting at $3.70.
Behind the three front runners is untried colt Just Forget It at $9.50 and last start winner How Swede It Is a long way back at $15.00.
The Races.com.au team have been busy sorting through the form of the 11 juveniles and we have managed to develop a guide of who we believe are the horses to put your punting money behind in the Morphetville feature race.
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The top three favourites all look in good form but the one with the most impressive recent results is the Matthew Ellerton and Simon Zahra-trained filly Big Chill.
A daughter of Artie Schiller, Big Chill won first-up at Sale in mid-March and was particularly impressive against a decent field when winning the Group 3 Marsh Breeders’ Stakes.
She has to come from the widest barrier in the field (12) but she is running hot at the moment and should have the talent to overcome the obstacle over 1400 metres.
Stephen Theodore-trained Road Trippin finished sixth in the Marsh Breeders’ Stakes but the gelding’s record suggests he is far better than that and with a favourable four draw should finish near the front tomorrow.
He has placed three times from five starts including in the Group 2 Sires’ Produce Stakes at Flemington in a race that featured star colt All Too Hard.
How Swede It Is looks to be great value at $15.00 with the Magnus colt boasting a resume of one win and four placings from six starts and some quality recent form.
Trained by Shane Nichols in Mornington, How Swede It Is has been particularly impressive of late, running second against a similar quality field to this weekend’s in the St Albans Stakes at Moonee Valley before winning the Brooklands Plate on his home track by more than a length.
Kind of cheating a bit here, with our third-place prediction of How Swede It Is also our roughie to take top honours.
His recent form suggests he is good enough and at $15.00 is well worth a dabble for those who like to chase the value.