The punters are ignoring the poor past wet weather form of glamour mare More Joyous and are coming for her in the 2012 Doncaster Mile betting markets, Gai Waterhouse’s six-time Group 1 champ firming into equal favourite for the Randwick classic on Saturday.
Fresh off back-to-back wins at Rosehill including a successful title defense in the Queen Of The Turf Stakes, More Than Ready five-year-old More Joyous was regulated to second fancy behind Grahame Begg’s Randwick mile specialist Secret Admirer for the $2 million Group 1 Doncaster Mile Handicap (1600m) on Saturday after heavy rain and more to come in Sydney.
While More Joyous has failed in her two previous attempts on a wet track, including her disappointing 11th as the beaten favourite on a Heavy (10) Randwick track for last year’s Doncaster, the wet is no worries for dual Group 1 winner over the 1600-metres here Secret Admirer.
As such our preferred online betting agency bookmaker.com.au yesterday had Secret Admirer as the $6.50 favourite over More Joyous at $7.
With jockey Nash Rawiller and Waterhouse both coming out to defend More Joyous’ claims on a rain-affected track however it seems the punters and bookies are listening and More Joyous has firmed into $6, as has Secret Admirer.
“They could have a flood and she’d win the race,” Waterhouse said with confidence.
Rawiller made excuses for More Joyous for not only her Doncaster defeat in the wet last year but also for her 15th place finish on a Heavy (9) Randwick track when Darren Beadman rode the then two-year-old in the 2009 Golden Slipper.
“She has actually performed very well in the wet before, it did pour with rain last year, she wasn’t probably fully at home but I don’t think she performed up to her best on the day,” he said.
“Whether there was other reasons apart from the wet track no-one will ever know but to me she wasn’t quite herself so I would forgive her that.
“As for the Golden Slipper, I don’t think Darren (Beadman) was himself that day.
“I saw her work this morning with (track rider) Steve Halloran on board and she looked tremendous.
“We don’t want a lot more rain because it probably takes that bit of ping out of her but I certainly wouldn’t write her off.
“She is going as good as we can get her, she is the sort of horse that can overcome big weights, when people write her off, that is when she gets up.”
But owner John Singleton is unlikely to start one of his ace assets in the track doesn’t undergo some serious upgrading.
The Doncaster Mile price on a number of the other top fancies meanwhile has eased out with Chris Waller’s dominant two Rangirangdoo, winner of the 2010 Doncaster, and recent Chipping Norton Stakes conqueror Shoot Out both out from $9 to $10.
Along with the equal favourites the other major Doncaster Mile market mover in from $71 to a much firmer $34 is Absolutely.
Michael Kent’s four-year-old Redoute’s Choice mare Absolutely has only seen the inside of a winners’ stall once in her 13 start career to date when she scored a big three and a half length upset over Shamrocker in the 2011 Australian Oaks over 2400-metres last year.
That was on a Heavy (10) track and with Randwick having been downgraded to a Heavy (8) as of 7am on Wednesday morning, there is every chance Absolutely could get the Heavy (10) she needs to be a smokey with genuine claims.
“We’ve had 55mm since it started,” Royal Randwick track manager Navesh Ramdhani said.
“That’s 22 yesterday and 33 this morning.
“It doesn’t look like it’s going to clear up any time soon either.
“They’re forecasting anything up to another 50mm in the next 24-hour period so it’s not looking too good.
“It’s going to be rain-affected, it’s a matter of how rain-affected it’s going to be.”
Another firmer is Waterhouse’s Doncaster Prelude winner from last weekend, Snippetson four-year-old Fast Clip now at $34 after being as long as $41 in the earlier markets.
Check out the full list of Doncaster Mile market movers below then for the complete odds and betting options head to our No. 1 recommended online bookie bookmaker.com.au.
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2012 Doncaster Mile Betting Market Movers
Randwick Race 7 – 3:35pm – 21/04/2012
- #1 Rangirangdoo – $9 out to $10
- #2 More Joyous – $7 into $6
- #3 Shoot Out – $9 out to $10
- #10 Secret Admirer – $6.50 into $6
- #17 Absolutely – $71 into $34
- #19 Fast Clip – $41 into $34
*All odds quoted are Fixed Win from bookmaker.com.au and subject to change