Steady money continues to stream in for ace filly Mosheen to destroy her rivals in the 2012 The Vanity at Flemington’s Lightning Stakes Day on Saturday, and rightfully so if you as the expert tipsters at Races.com.au.
There really looks little to challenge Robert Smerdon’s nine-length Crown Oaks winner as she races second-up for the season in the $150,000 Group 3 The Vanity (1410m) – Flemington Race 4.
If the daughter of Fastnet Rock, a four-time winner from 10 starts for $1.6 million in prize money, were ever going to be vulnerable it would have been first-up over 1200-metres.
As it turned out, she wasn’t.
Mosheen easily accounted for a smart field when she resumed off a three month break in the Listed Manfred Stakes (1200m) at Caulfield on February 4.
Saturday sees her stepping up to a more suitable distance and she faces just seven rivals, including a debutant.
This explains her firming odds-on price then in the 2012 The Vanity odds at Luxbet.
After opening at $1.85, Mosheen was smashed early and went to $1.75.
It hasn’t stopped yet either and Luxbet punters won’t get Mosheen better than $1.65 now.
Smerdon said Mosheen was not a full-fitness for her return a fortnight ago which leads to scary thoughts of just how big a margin she will beat this moderate field on Saturday.
Mosheen’s regular rider Danny Nikolic, who retains the mount for Saturday, said he would be absolutely shocked if his filly didn’t kill it on Lightning Stakes Day even with her 57.5kg topweight.
“You would be disappointed if she couldn’t beat those fillies on the weekend,” he said.
“She’s got to give them all 3.5kg but she has earned that.
“She is definitely the class horse of the race.”
While in the eyes of the Races.com.au team Mosheen will be far too classy for these, there is still a The Vanity Trifecta to pick and lock in at Luxbet.
So who will place being the queen in this field?
Follow the odds.
Great Dame, drawn nicely in barrier three, should get a good run up along Mosheen.
She won’t be able to run down the favourite, but she is the $6 second pick at Luxbet for a reason.
Her trainer Greg Eurell is confident of a good showing too as the daughter of Danerich comes off back-to-back January wins.
First she blasted a field by eight lengths at Stoney Creek over 1100-metres before her similarly eye-catching three and a half length success over 1300-metres at Sandown on January 28.
“I certainly think she is worthy of having a go in a race like this on Saturday,” Eurell said.
“Both her runs this time in have been full of merit and stepping up to 1400-metjres is not going to be a problem.
“It is a class test for sure and Mosheen is the one to beat, but she (Great Dame) will come out of a soft barrier to jump into a good position.
“It will give us a very good idea of what direction we can head with her.
“Hopefully she is up to the better fillies in the autumn and can target a few of the Group races here or even in Sydney.”
Shopaholic ($7 Luxbet) also looks good for a place after the Danny O’Brien-trained Pins three-year-old won first-up at Caulfield over 1100-metres, but Peter Snowden’s resuming Elusive Quality filly Caline to us is the value pick at $12.
Head to Luxbet now to lock in our 2012 The Vanity Stakes tip or your own selections at the guaranteed best prices in the country.
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2012 The Vanity Trifecta Tip
- #1 Mosheen from #3 Great Dame and #5 Caline – Bet now at Luxbet