Lightning Stakes 2012 Form Guide – Black Caviar Next Race

Race fans and punters are in for a special treat this Saturday, Black Caviar horse racing action to take place for the second weekend in a row with Peter Moody’s magnificent mare to race in the 2012 Lightning Stakes.

Black Caviar

Black Caviar will become the first horse in history to win the CF Orr - Lightning Stakes double if successful on Saturday

Undefeated in 18 and out for her 19th consecutive career victory, Bel Esprit five-year-old Black Caviar has come a long long way since her debut win at Flemington back in April 2009.

In her maiden run she put five lengths on her rivals, and since then she has raced her way into the history books breaking a plethora of records.

That was also the first and only time Black Caviar was to start above odds-on in a race, and it will be no different at Flemington on Saturday for the $750,000 Group 1 Coolmore Lightning Stakes (1000m).

Jumping as Flemington Race 6 at 4:10pm (VIC time), the Lightning Stakes 2012 looks to be Black Caviar’s for the taking as the defending champ is the $1.12 Luxbet favourite.

To name just a few of the records Black Caviar will own with a win in the Lightning:

  • Equal the 19-straight race Australasian record co-held by Gloaming and Desert Gold
  •  Equal Ajax’s 18-straight STAKES race victories
  • Prize money earned to over $5 million, only 15 have done it before her and only two mares
  •  Scoring Group 1 win number nine, second highest of any mare in history behind only Sunline (13) since Group and Listed race classifications came in during the 1970-80 season
  • Third mare in history to go back-to-back in the Lightning with Wenona Girl (1963-64) and Maybe Mahal (1977-78)

One record that would that would be Black Caviar’s only, however, is the CF Orr Stakes – Lightning Stakes double.

It takes a horse of incredible determination and versatility to drop back from 1400-metres to 1000-metres in the space of seven days in two Group 1’s and be successful in both, but that is exactly what kind of horse Black Caviar is.

To date just one other racehorse has attempted the unique double, Star Of Heaven back in 1965, who went down a half-head in both races.

Punters may just see a repeat of last year’s Lightning Stakes Quinella as the returning Hay List goes first-up into the race on Saturday after finishing three and a half lengths away second to Black Caviar in the Lightning 12 months ago.

While Black Caviar dominates the markets, Hay List remains the only other hopeful under double figures paying $9 at Luxbet to cause what would go down in history as one of the biggest racing upsets of all time.

While Black Caviar and Hay List are the obvious top two, there are seven other horses in the Lightning Stakes field.

Anyone that knows anything about racing will be able to tell you nothing in the industry is a sure thing.

So can Black Caviar be beaten?

Probably not.

Moving on, what horses do you then back for the Place at Luxbet to fill your Lightning Stakes exotics?

There’s the John O’Shea-trained three-year-old Foxwedge in the far outside gate.

Third favourite in the Luxbet markets at $18 and drifting, Foxwedge is a smart colt but would perhaps be more suited to a race against his own age.

Still, three-year-olds have a good record in the Lightning Stakes with 10 wins in the past 22 years.

Last seen finishing a very close second to superstar Sepoy in the Group 1 Coolmore Stud Stakes (1200m), Foxwedge has raced against some of the best but he has been a while out and could be shell-shocked by the ‘Black Flash’ on Saturday.

The team believe there are a few Lightning Stakes roughies that look a little over in the markets, not for the win of course, but they can add value to exotics.

Buffering in barrier three is one, the $51 chance from Brisbane having met Black Caviar twice before, most recently when second in the Group 1 Patinack Farm Classic (1200m) in November.

While there was no Hay List that race, Hay List was there for the BTC Cup in Brisbane last May and Buffering finished third behind Black Caviar and him that day making Rob Heathcote’s horse our value pick for third again on Saturday.

Take our pick for the Lightning Stakes Trifecta or back your own Flemington tips at the best prices online through Luxbet.

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2012 Coolmore Lightning Stakes Field & Form Guide

Flemington Race 6 – 4:10pm – 18/02/2012

# Horse Trainer Jockey Br. Wgt. Age/Sex Days API Career Win% Place% Last 6
1. PHELAN READY Jason Mclachlan Brad Rawiller 2 58.5 5yoG 112 $133,163 26: 2 3 5 7.69% 38.46% 34387x
2. HAY LIST J C Mcnair Glyn Schofield 7 58.5 6yoG 280 $86,816 20: 14 4 0 70.00% 90.00% 21212x
3. BUFFERING R L Heathcote Michael Rodd 3 58.5 4yoG 105 $55,195 20: 8 4 2 40.00% 70.00% 41462x
4. TEMPLE OF BOOM T J Gollan Danny Nikolic 1 58.5 5yoG 112 $34,560 25: 9 4 5 36.00% 72.00% 01613x
5. SECRET FLYER M W Young Dwayne Dunn 8 58.5 8yoG 217 $13,895 38: 11 4 5 28.95% 52.63% 36151x
6. METALLURGICAL John Thompson Craig Williams 4 58.5 5yoG 112 $8,619 23: 5 5 4 21.74% 60.87% 22x84x
7. BLACK CAVIAR P G Moody Luke Nolen 5 56.5 5yoM 7 $263,503 18: 18 0 0 100.00% 100.00% x11111
8. LONE ROCK R W Smerdon Glen Boss 6 56.5 4yoM 154 $38,059 14: 4 2 3 28.57% 64.29% 1x513x
9. FOXWEDGE J A O’shea Nash Rawiller 9 55.5 3yoC 112 $63,189 9: 4 2 1 44.44% 77.78% 12412x

*Form Guide Credit –