Betting markets for the four black-type highlights on the Caulfield race card on Saturday are now out, reigning Crown Oaks champion Mosheen securing favouritism over fellow fancy Rifleman in the odds for the Manfred Stakes 2012.
Due to take place as Caulfield Race 5 at 3:50pm (VIC time), the Manfred Stakes runs this year as the $100,000 Listed Shadwell Stud Australasia Stakes (1200m).
Currently 10 horses remain in the field following the early withdrawal of #8 Niconoise who was drawn in barrier one.
The market mover and unsurprising favourite is Robert Smerdon’s brilliant Fastnet Rock filly Mosheen.
After opening in the Luxbet markets at $4.40, Mosheen has been blasted by the punters and her price has been ground into $3.80.
She runs for the first time since her scintillating nine length romp in the Group 1 Crown Oaks (2500m) at Flemington on November 3 and comes into gate seven after originally drawing eight.
Having won one of her two first-up assignments to date, Mosheen sees the 1200m for the third time on Saturday and is yet to win over the distance.
Second-favourite to take out the Shadwell Stud Australasia Stakes on Saturday is then Rifleman who has drifted out from $4.20 to $4.40 at Luxbet over the past day.
Drawn ideally in barrier four, into three, David Hayes’ Hussonet colt is out to stretch their winning streak to three straight following back-to-back wins at Ballarat by four lengths and then Morphettville by one respectively in January over 1000m.
They go to 1200m for the first time but have the lead-up form to be competitive.
“Rifleman has been racing well,” Hayes said.
“He equaled the course record in Adelaide last start and from the barrier I thought he was worth a shot at the better horses.”
It is a wide open betting market for Caulfield Race 5 with six other runners under $10 in the markets including $7 third favourite, John Hyam’s Lonhro colt Petman ($7 Luxbet).
Petman comes off a third in the Listed Zeditave Stakes (1200m) at the track and distance on Australia Day and Hyam is confident they have come on well since.
Despite Mosheen’s dominance in the markets Hyam believes she won’t be at full fitness just yet and that Rifleman is the main danger, after his horse of course.
“I’m over the moon with the way he is now,” Hyam said of Petman who races at Caulfield for the first time.
“He can win the race.
“I’ve taken him for a couple of gallops around the Caulfield track – he seems to know the place.
“Rifleman is probably the biggest danger.
“I’m pretty sure they wouldn’t have Mosheen firing over 1200 metres first-up – she’s got a Sydney trip in store.
“Our bloke is pretty hard and fit now.
“As long as he backs up, we should be sweet.”
The Mick Price-trained Starcraft gelding Secret Hills resuming after a sixth to Helmet in the Caulfield Guineas last October, and That’s The One following in the markets paying $7.50 each through Luxbet.
The Colin & Cindy Alderson-trained That’s The One has come in from their opening odds of $8.50 getting some early support despite their awkward barrier 10 (into 9) draw.
After winning their opening two career starts in July and August last year, a three length Sandown success on debut overcoming a Heavy (9) track before a close win over 1410m at Flemington, That’s The One was disappointing when finishing a well-beaten sixth to Helmet in the Group 3 Caulfield Guineas Prelude (1400m) on September 24.
Cindy Alderson is confidence they can make a nice return on Saturday and get back to the business of winning this autumn, their campaign targeted at the $750,000 Group 1 Australian Guineas (2000m) at Flemington on March 3.
“I think this race will be a little bit short for him on Saturday, but I’m very happy with his condition and the way he’s come through his two trials leading into it,” she said.
“I think he’ll be running on strongly at the end of the race and I’m excited to have him back.”
Check out the full Caulfield racing odds and betting options for all eight events this Saturday open now at Luxbet, and if you sign-up with this ace online bookie for the first time, make sure you deposit and quote the code BONUSBET to unlock your $400 bonus bet!
2012 Shadwell Stud Australasia Manfred Stakes Odds
Caulfield Race 5 – 04/02/2012
|1||MOSHEEN (8)||3.80 Luxbet|
|2||HIGHLY RECOMMENDED (6)||9.00 Luxbet|
|3||SECRET HILLS (7)||7.50 Luxbet|
|4||PETMAN (5)||7.00 Luxbet|
|5||THAT’S THE ONE (10)||7.50 Luxbet|
|6||RIFLEMAN (4)||4.40 Luxbet|
|7||SEA TRYST (2)||14.00 Luxbet|
|9||AMERICAN DREAM (3)||9.00 Luxbet|
|10||BIG BUDDIE (9)||61.00 Luxbet|
*Fixed Win Odds provided by Luxbet and subject to change