Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
The Zipping Classic 2011 looks to be Americain’s for the taking at Sandown on Saturday, and while there is no denying the grit and ability of this in-form French stayer, the Races.com.au are after a little more value than their odds-on price to win and so below have the exact Zipping Classic finishing order we are tipping.
With only four rivals to account for in the $350,000 Group 2 Zipping Classic (2400m), Americain should have no issues dropping back from the 3200 metres of the Melbourne Cup and saluting in the weight-for-age feature.
It takes a genuine racehorse to back up from the Melbourne Cup and win the Sandown Classic, see four-time hero Zipping who the race is named in honour of this year, and Americain is definitely genuine.
They may not have won the Melbourne Cup for the second year in a row, but their fourth place finish having come from right back and wide to reel off the hottest final 400 metre sectional time of any contender shows their honesty and toughness.
These are the attributes that win an end-of-season showdown like the Zipping Classic and explain Americain’s $1.50 price in the Luxbet markets for Saturday.
For punters looking for a little more value the Zipping Classic exotic selections at Luxbet are the go.
Remember, with a five-horse field however that Place bets will only be paid on the winner and runner-up and Trifectas and First Fours aren’t on offer.
Still the winning Zipping Classic Exacta is worth a shot at, and just for fun we have predicted the exact finishing order.
1st: Americain ($1.50 Luxbet)
The form and history say yes, Americain will win. They ran fourth in the Melbourne Cup last-start which Zipping did before two of his four victories in the past four years, boast a solid Win Rate of 37.04%, have twice won over the distance and are solid on Slow ground. As the favourite things are also in their favour with five of the past seven winners having jumped as the punters’ pick.
2nd: Lamasery ($9 Luxbet)
Add a bit of value to the Zipping Classic Exacta. May have missed a shot at the Melbourne Cup this year but enjoyed a consolation prize on Cup Day taking out the Listed Johnnie Walker Stakes. Plagued with foot issues but are reportedly in good form for this. Have the best winning strike rate of the field (58.82%) and have won over the distance. Historically geldings have a good record. Class a query but small field and predicted easy pace bring them into contention.
3rd: Manighar ($8.50 Luxbet)
Third most consistent horse based on win rates and is the only runner with a previous start at the track and distance when third to Zipping in this last year on a Heavy (9) track. Were impressive when fifth in the Melbourne Cup last-start and how they back up after that is the key. Distance is no problems as they have four times won over the 2400m form nine attempts, predicting the same place finish as 12 months ago.
4th: Mourayan ($4.20 Luxbet)
Is owned by the right connections (Lloyd Williams who was behind Zipping), but are a market drifter for a reason. They have reportedly fully recovered from their lameness issues that saw them scratched from the Melbourne Cup, and they will be a lot fresher for this than some of their rivals having last run in the Group 1 Mackinnon Stakes on Derby Day (October 29). Will be close.
5th: Saptapadi ($101 Luxbet)
Triple figure roughie and there’s no reason to suggest they should be any shorter. Were disappointing when 14th in the Caulfield Cup and 16th in the Melbourne Cup. About nine lengths off these rivals and will finish well back.
Get in on the Zipping Classic betting action now at Luxbet, the online bookie offering exclusive ‘Without the Favourite’ odds on the race!
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