Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
This Saturday one of the headline events on the Sandown race program is the Sandown Guineas 2011 and below the Races.com.au have made their insider Sandown Guineas betting tips and exotic selections public knowledge.
It is one of the largest fields seen for the $350,000 Group 2 Sandown Guineas (1600m) in a number of years with 16 hopefuls, at least half of which have genuine claims.
Based on the form facts and stats, however, it is obvious that the Luxbet favourite Galah is the definite horse to beat.
They have been in flying form this season and while they are probably coming to the end of what has been a busy campaign, trainer Peter Snowden is a maestro and wouldn’t risk a huge autumn prospect by running them unless he was 100 percent sure they could handle it.
See below for which other runners the Races.com.au team are tipping to finish in the Sandown Guineas First Four behind Galah.
1st: #1 Galah ($3.00 Luxbet)
Everything is in the favourite’s favour for this. Is prepared by the best trainer of youngsters getting around, boast the highest win rate of the field (80%) by leaps and bounds, they come off a last-start win in a Group race at Flemington over this distance (1600m), are drawn ideally in barrier four and have form on slow ground. Don’t lay this favourite.
2nd: #6 Niagara ($10 Luxbet)
An interesting campaign with Gai Waterhouse trying this one in the Victoria Derby only to have them fail. They come back from 2500m to the mile, will it pay off? How they handle this unusual prep will determine their performance but class goes a long way in these late-season showdowns. They are a bit of a gamble for second but one we are happy to take. Nash Rawiller who won this race last year with Pressday has the ride, they have won over the distance before and can handle a soft track. Worth the gamble.
3rd: #11 Saint Etienne ($21 Luxbet)
The odds keep getting longer on these selections, but the bookies really might have it wrong. Plenty to suggest this Mick Price-trained improver has a top four, maybe even top three, finish in them again. Were third in the Carbine Club Stakes beaten only a quarter-length by Galah last start, before which they won at Echuca. Have a 100% Place Rate, drawn well in three. Lots to like worth an Each Way.
4th: #13 So Swift ($14 Luxbet)
Another double-figure hopeful with form to suggest they can add great value to the winning Sandown Guineas First Four. Star hoop Craig Williams in the saddle, come off a last-start win albeit at Hamilton but it was impressive, drawn nicely in gate two, should run ok on slow ground. Set to step up.
Roughie Bet: #14 Westsouthwest
A $71 roughie but wow, there are some real stats in this one’s favour. Gets the rails run from gate one as last year’s winner Pressday had, shares second best win rate with 50%, comes off a good win over 1500m at Mornington in the wet. Value Bet of the Spring?
To lock in our Sandown Guineas selections, or your own picks, at the best prices in the country visit Luxbet now.
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