Jimmy Choux is the punters favourite for the 2011 Emirates Stakes in one of the most even looking fields assembled all carnival.
You can guarantee there will be money for all 16 horses in the 2011 Emirates Stakes final field with good form and good overall records brought in by just about every horse.
That makes the job for Jimmy Choux a lot tougher given jockey Jonathan Riddell will have no idea where his main dangers lie. Jimmy Choux comes into the race after running second in the 2011 Cox Plate behind Pinker Pinker.
He hit the lead at the top of the straight but was overrun in the final 100m to lose his first race after posting a two event winning streak this spring.
Connections will be looking for a consolation prize in the 2011 Emirates stakes but they have their work cut out for them.
Jimmy Choux is the top weight of the race, he’ll carry 58kg, a full two kilograms more than any other horse.
He’ll also have to deal with barrier 13 meaning he’s likely to settle towards the tail of the field.
In addition to that he’s second up in Australia, something he struggled with over the autumn.
Finally he’s also dropping back in trip from the 2040m of the Cox Plate to a mile.
Last time Jimmy Choux was second up was in the 2011 AJC Derby where he was hot favourite but fell out to finish sixth.
There’s a case that this was caused by being second up in Australia but it could also have been due to him not running out the 2400m trip.
That’s the main difference between then and now but it still must be somewhat of a concern.
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#1 Jimmy Choux – Horse Profile
- Jockey: Jonathan Riddell
- Trainer: John Bary
- Owners: Chouxmaani Investments Ltd
- Age: 4YO
- Gender: Horse
- Breeding: by Thorn Park out of John Bary
- Career: 22:12-5-2
- Prize Money: $1,994,724
- Track: 1-1-0-0
- Distance: 17-9-2-0
- Current Emirates Stakes Odds: $5.50 @ Luxbet
Why Jimmy Choux Can Win The 2011 Emirates Stakes
- Has a class advantage over all of these horses
- One from one at Flemington (was over this trip)
- Ran second in the Cox Plate last start
- Has won with this weight before
Why Jimmy Choux Can’t Win The 2011 Emirates Stakes
- Struggled second up in Australia during the autumn
- Dropping back over 400m in distance
- Weight discrepancy is big between him and the field
- Very even race with no clear second pick
- Wide barrier
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