Emirates Stakes 2011 Form Guide & Betting Preview

While Black Caviar is set to steal the spotlight at Flemington Racecourse this Saturday, the official marquee race of the final Melbourne Cup Carnival raceday is the 2011 Emirates Stakes, and with a capacity field of milers engaged, below the Races.com.au have a comprehensive Emirates Stakes field, form guide and betting analysis to help you pick the winner!

Scheduled to jump at 3:00pm (AEDT) as Flemington Race 6, the $1 million Group 1 Emirates Stakes (1600m) is shaping up as an intriguing showdown with the Cox Plate looking to be the form race to go by.

Jimmy Choux

Jimmy Choux vies for their sixth Group 1 title in the 2011 Emirates Stakes on Saturday

Coming via the Cox Plate are Jimmy Choux (2nd), Wall Street (4th), Secret Admirer (5th) and King’s Rose (7th), and each one is a genuine Emirates Stakes 2011 chance coming back to the mile.

Currently it is the John Bary-trained Kiwi champ Jimmy Choux at the top of the Emirates Stakes odds at Luxbet, the 58kg topweight vying for his sixth career Group 1 and paying $5.50 to salute.

Jimmy Choux is followed in the Emirates Stakes betting markets at Luxbet by Peter Moody’s former New Zealander King’s Rose ($6.50) and Epsom Handicap winner Secret Admirer ($6.50).

The in-form Love Conquers All is the other single-figure chance paying $9, while defending Emirates Stakes winner Wall Street pays $12 to go back-to-back in the million dollar feature.

This is what the Emirates Stakes markets say, but what does the historical data and form guide on this great race reveal?

Having gone over the full 2011 Emirates Stakes field and form guide, and analysed the winning trends and betting stats, the Races.com.au team below have the need-to-know facts for punters looking to clean up at Luxbet!

2011 Emirates Stakes Form Guide & Betting Analysis

  • Defending Emirates Stakes winner #2 Wall Street ($12 Luxbet) came off a seventh in the 2010 Cox Plate, jumped from barrier nine with Hugh Bowman aboard
  • This year Wall Street comes off a Cox Plate fourth, is drawn in barrier two and Bowman retains the ride
  • Barrier nine this year belongs to #4 Love Conquers All ($9 Luxbet)
  • Along with #2 Wall Street (Jeff Lynds) other horses prepared by a former Emirates Stakes winning trainer are #8 Secret Admirer (Grahame Begg), #11 King’s Rose (Peter Moody), #14 Luen Yat Forever (Peter Moody) and #17 Largo Lad (David Hayes)
  • Three other horses aside from #2 Wall Street (Hugh Bowman) will be ridden by a previous Emirates Stakes winning jockey with #4 Love Conquers All (Darren Beadman), #6 Pinwheel (Kerrin McEvoy) and #13 Dao Dao (Dwayne Dunn)
  • There are four last-start winners engaged with #4 Love Conquers All (1400m, Caulfield, 15/10/2011), #9 Woorim (1400m, Flemington, 29/10/2011), #10 Testa My Patience (1600m, Moonee Valley, 22/10/2011) and #12 Pinnacles (1600m, Sale, 23/10/2011)
  • #9 Woorim ($13 Luxbet) won the same race All Silent did on way to their 2008 Emirates Stakes win
  • #1 Jimmy Choux ($5.50 Luxbet) boasts the best Win Rate of the field with 54.55%
  • The next highest winning strike rates belong to #10 Testa My Patience ($10 Luxbet), #11 King’s Rose ($6.50 Luxbet) and #16 Red Tracer ($18 Luxbet) all on 50%
  • Horses with the most consistent Place Percentages #16 Red Tracer (100%), #10 Testa My Patience (92.86%) and #1 Jimmy Choux (86.36%)
  • Favourites and single-figure hopes have a poor recent record in the overall in the Emirates Stakes with plenty of upset winners including Tears I Cry who paid 100-1 in 2007
  • There have, however, been two favourites to win in the past four years with All Silent ($6.50 in 2008) and Wall Street ($6 in 2010)
  • Four-year-olds have won five of the past 10 Emirates; there are seven 4YO’s engaged this year with #1 Jimmy Choux ($5.50 Luxbet), #5 Toorak Toff ($26 Luxbet), #8 Secret Admirer ($6.50 Luxbet), #11 King’s Rose ($6.50 Luxbet), #15 Yosei ($41 Luxbet), #16 Red Tracer ($18 Luxbet) and #20 He’s Remarkable ($26 Luxbet)
  • Geldings hold the record in the past decade with five wins, there are 11 geldings engaged this year the shortest priced of which is #2 Wall Street ($12 Luxbet)
  • #2 Wall Street (1-1-0-0) and #17 Largo Lad (2-1-0-0) are the only horses to have won at the Track & Distance, but #10 Testa My Patience (1-0-1-0), #12 Pinnacles (2-0-1-0), #13 Dao Dao (3-0-2-1) and #18 Willy Jimmy (1-0-1-0) have placed
  • Horses with the best mile record are #1 Jimmy Choux (5-4-0-0), #2 Wall Street (17-9-2-0), #8 Secret Admirer (2-2-0-0), #10 Testa My Patience (4-2-1-0), #11 King’s Rose (4-3-1-0), #13 Dao Dao (14-4-3-2), #17 Lago Lad (6-2-0-0), #18 Willy Jimmy (11-5-3-0) and #20 He’s Remarkable (5-2-1-2)
  • Based on Flemington race records the horses to get behind are #2 Wall Street (1-1-0-0), #9 Woorim (3-1-0-1), #10 Testa My Patience (2-0-2-0), #12 Pinnacles (14-2-2-2) and #13 Dao Dao (4-0-2-1)

Stay tuned to Races.com.au for our exclusive Emirates Stakes tips and exotic selections to be published shortly.

In the meantime, get ready for the Emirates Stakes Day action by signing up with Luxbet and get access to the hottest spring specials including Best Tote Exotics + 5% Bonuses on every Flemington race this Saturday!

2011 Emirates Stakes Field & Form Guide

Flemington Race 6 – 05/11/2011

No. Horse Trainer Jockey Br. Wgt. Age/Sex Days API Career Win% Place% Last 6
1. JIMMY CHOUX J G Bary Jonathan Riddell 13 58 4yoH 14 $90,669 22: 12 5 2 54.55% 86.36% 6×2112
2. WALL STREET J R Lynds Hugh Bowman 2 56 7yoG 14 $54,788 27: 11 4 0 40.74% 55.56% 0x0444
3. DANLEIGH C J Waller Nash Rawiller 1 55.5 8yoG 14 $46,885 47: 9 6 8 19.15% 48.94% 76×668
4. LOVE CONQUERS ALL “M, W and J Hawkes Darren Beadman 9 55.5 5yoH 21 $64,357 21: 8 5 2 38.10% 71.43% 20×131
5. TOORAK TOFF R G Hore-lacy Steven Arnold 5 55.5 4yoH 7 $80,845 16: 6 1 1 37.50% 50.00% 0x5103
6. PINWHEEL Peter Snowden Kerrin Mc Evoy 16 54.5 6yoG 21 $30,876 27: 10 8 4 37.04% 81.48% 131403
7. ALBERT THE FAT C J Waller Not Notified 11 54 7yoG 21 $21,843 30: 10 3 3 33.33% 53.33% 46×242
8. SECRET ADMIRER G M Begg Brenton Avdulla 4 54 4yoM 14 $83,559 9: 3 2 2 33.33% 77.78% x22415
9. WOORIM R L Heathcote Michael Rodd 8 54 6yoG 7 $21,633 35: 10 6 3 28.57% 54.29% 110661
10. TESTA MY PATIENCE M G Price Craig Newitt 3 53.5 5yoG 14 $24,547 14: 7 4 2 50.00% 92.86% 2×2311
11. KING’S ROSE P G Moody Luke Nolen 12 53 4yoM 14 $44,729 16: 8 2 0 50.00% 62.50% 7×1127
12. PINNACLES R G Hore-lacy Not Notified 15 53 8yoG 13 $16,696 60: 11 9 6 18.33% 43.33% 512251
13. DAO DAO “M, W and J Hawkes Dwayne Dunn 14 52.5 8yoG 14 $47,570 30: 7 8 3 23.33% 60.00% 08×750
14. LUEN YAT FOREVER P G Moody Nicholas Hall 17 52.5 6yoG 14 $29,669 36: 12 8 3 33.33% 63.89% 0x4537
15. YOSEI S J Webb Michelle Payne 6 52.5 4yoM 28 $50,082 18: 4 1 1 22.22% 33.33% 601007
16. RED TRACER C J Waller Chris Munce 19 52 4yoM 35 $39,584 12: 6 3 3 50.00% 100.00% 11×123
17. LARGO LAD D A Hayes James Winks 7 52 7yoG 7 $20,589 30: 6 3 1 20.00% 33.33% x19x60
18. WILLY JIMMY G H Walter Not Notified 20 52 6yoG 35 $9,873 28: 7 3 2 25.00% 42.86% 721454
19. LORD PYRUS Ms J Mawer Lisa Cropp 18 52 6yoG 13 $9,247 22: 5 5 4 22.73% 63.64% 0x0902
20. HE’S REMARKABLE R A James Not Notified 10 52 4yoH 14 $15,418 13: 4 1 2 30.77% 53.85% 60×113

*Form Guide Credit Ladbrokes.com.au