Crown Oaks 2011 Betting & Odds – Dowager Queen Favourite

Graeme Rogerson’s consistent New Zealand-trained filly Dowager Queen is installed as the narrow favourite in a now wide-open 2011 Crown Oaks betting market for Thursday’s third Melbourne Cup Carnival meeting.

After the $1 million Group 1 Crown Oaks (2500m), running as Flemington Race 6 at 3:40pm (local time) on Thursday, lost its drawcard contender with Atlantic Jewel withdrawn due to a hamstring injury, the Luxbet punters now have no dominant odds-on favourite ruling the markets.


Mosheen is the early 2011 Crown Oaks betting market mover

Of the 11 three-year-old fillies in the 2011 Crown Oaks field, Dowager Queen originally opened as the $3.70 to elect in the Luxbet markets but she is now out to $3.90.

A winner of four of her 16 career starts to date the daughter of Savabeel has been in good form this season that has included a Group 1 third to Streama in the Flight Stakes in Sydney and a second in the Listed Ethereal Stakes (2000m) on Caulfield Cup Day.

Dowager Queen was last seen finishing seven and a half lengths away third behind Atlantic Jewel in the Group 2 Wakeful Stakes (2000m) and is expected to improve with the step-up to the 2500 metres on Thursday.

The Crown Oaks 2011 betting market mover and now second favourite is then Mosheen who has been backed in from $6 to $4.80 at Luxbet.

Coming up trumps with barrier two for Thursday, the smart Robert Smerdon-trained daughter of Fastnet Rock has been one of the eye-catching fillies of the spring.

She has had a long preparation having been up since mid-August, but has been performing her heart out in all six of her runs so far.

Highlights from Mosheen’s three-year-season include her commanding three length victory in the Group 2 Edward Manifold Stakes (1600m) at Flemington and her brave second to Atlantic Jewel in the Group 1 Thousand Guineas (1600m).

Mosheen comes into Thursday’s Crown Oaks off the back of a sixth place finish to Hurtle Myrtle in the Group 1 Myer Classic (1600m) on Victoria Derby Day where she was caught out against the older mares from an awkward double-digit gate.

She has never been tested at a distance greater than a mile making the Crown Oaks a true stamina test for Mosheen, but the punters are behind her.

There are two other fillies at single-figure prices in the Crown Oaks odds at Luxbet with Leon Corstens’ surprise Wakeful Stakes runner-up Rahveel ($5.50) out in the far outside barrier and the Bart Cummings-trained Ethereal Stakes winner Gliding ($6.50) who also drew wide in gate 10.

Meanwhile other longer-priced Crown Oaks hopefuls that could prove the value punt of the day at Luxbet include Vittoria ($11) drawn nicely in barrier four, Roma Giaconda ($16) who ran a surprise second to Manawanui in the Stan Fox Stakes three starts back, and Elusive Quality filly Pentimento ($16).

Rounding out the 2011 Crown Oaks field and odds are then Ethereal Stakes third placegetter Gioe ($18), the Grahame Begg-trained Fallen One ($26) with the inside run from gate one, Lady Jouster ($26) coming off a last-start win at Bendigo and David Hayes’ lightly-raced Redoute’s Choice filly Flame Of Lanka ($35).

See below for the latest Crown Oaks fixed win odds that punters can lock in now at Luxbet.

Stay tuned to throughout the day for our exclusive Crown Oaks form guide analysis, race preview and betting tips.

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2011 Crown Oaks Odds

Flemington Race 6 03/11/2011

# Horse (Barrier) Odds*
1 Mosheen (2) 4.80 Luxbet
2 Dowager Queen (8) 3.90 Luxbet
3 Gliding (10) 6.50 Luxbet
4 Rahveel (11) 5.50 Luxbet
5 Roma Giaconda (6) 16.00 Luxbet
6 Gioe (9) 18.00 Luxbet
7 Vittoria (4) 11.00 Luxbet
8 Fallen One (1) 26.00 Luxbet
9 Flame Of Lanka (5) 35.00 Luxbet
10 Lady Jouster (3) 26.00 Luxbet
11 Pentimento (7) 16.00 Luxbet

*Odds are Fixed Win and subject to change – see Luxbet for updates and to bet now!