2011 Melbourne Cup Trifecta Betting Analysis

It can pay anywhere from a couple of hundred dollars to many thousands and once again in 2011 there will be no shortage of punters looking to chase down the Melbourne Cup trifecta.

It’s probably the most prized scalp for any Australian punter whether they do it daily, weekly, monthly or just once¬† a year.

There’s no doubt the odds are well and truly stacked against you picking the first three across the line on the first Tuesday on November however the payout can make the risk well worth it.

There’s no way to tell how much the trifecta will pay in the 2011 Melbourne Cup but you do have a choice at how much value you’re after.

Pick the favourites and you’ll be looking on the smaller end of payouts, probably something still into the triple figures given the size and value of the field.

Throw in a couple of roughies though and it could be anything, three horses paying over $20 would give you many thousands to play with on Tuesday night.

So that’s your dilemma, do you play it smart and give yourself the best mathematical chance in the Melbourne Cup trifecta or do you go hard and look for the biggest collect.

Whatever method you choose make sure you at least bet with Luxbet so you get a bigger payout than the TAB.

That’s right, no longer are Luxbet just paying best tote for the win, they’re now paying best tote plus 5% on exotics!

That could potentially mean hundreds, even thousands, extra in your account if you can pick the 2011 Melbourne Cup trifecta.

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2011 Melbourne Cup Trifecta

#1 – Americain ($5.00 @ Luxbet)

He’s the defending Melbourne Cup champion and there’s simply nothing you can take away from him going into the race this year. He’s obviously proven over the trip and he’s racing in peak form, once again thriving on Australian soil. He won the Moonee Valley Cup when he wasn’t even at peak fitness so things are looking great for the 2011 Melbourne Cup. The only possible query would be his weight but remember this horse is considerably bigger than Makybe Diva and she coped no worries

#3 – Dunaden ($7.50 @ Luxbet)

He’s Americain version two and these two look like the ones that will be battling out the prize. He comes through the Geelong Cup, a race he was only 85% fit in but he still won it convincingly. It’s the same route Americain took last year and he seems well positioned to repeat the winning feeling for the French in 2011.

#17 – At First Sight ($14 at Luxbet)

He has a flying finish and the ability to fire off a blistering series of sectionals. The Flemington straight will suit him down to the ground ¬†giving him plenty of time to balance up and find the line. The only query is the fact he seems to place far more than he wins but that’s of no concern in trifecta betting.

Value Trifecta Roughies

#2 – Jukebox Jury ($12 @ Luxbet)

He can hold on for a long way out in front on the back of his European form.

#9 – Lucas Cranach ($12 @ Luxbet)

Another with the ability to run a lightning final 200m and will be coming home late.

#23 – Niwot ($12 @ Luxbet)

He was fantastic in the Lexus Stakes and if he brings that form here he’s a massive go.

Remember too that there’s no need to settle on just three horses for your 2011 Melbourne Cup trifecta, increase your chances by boxing as many as you like.

The cost of the bet will go up but it gives you plenty more options to score a winner.

Remember that you’d be crazy to put your 2011 Melbourne Cup trifecta bet on anywhere other than Luxbet because of their best tote + 5% payout offer.

With the difference between totes sometimes as much as 50% or more it’s an offer you can’t afford to dismiss.

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