Is Tullamore Too Tired to Win 2011 Melbourne Cup for Gai Waterhouse?

Consistent Sydney stayer Tullamore is considered the best of Ms Gai Waterhouse’s two Melbourne Cup 2011 chances. They certainly have the right form to take out the $6 million showdown and snare the $3.6 million Melbourne Cup first prize on Tuesday, but have they been up just that little bit too long and had a few too many runs to become this year’s Melbourne Cup winner?

Waterhouse is one of our household names when it comes to Australian racing, and while the Hall of Famer’s training record is an impressive one, one thing missing is a Melbourne Cup success story.

Tullamore

Tullamore is Gai Waterhouse's best chane of winning the 2011 Melbourne Cup

She has come close on two occasions having run second with Nothin’ Leica Dane to Doriemus in 1996, and before that Te Akau Nick was runner-up to the Melbourne Cup’s first European winner Vintage Crop in 1993.

Last year for the prestigious 150th running of the Cup, Waterhouse looked to have a genuine chance in Caulfield Cup winner Descarado.

But in a heartbreaking result they failed to see out the two-miles.

Dually represented in the 2011 Melbourne Cup field, Waterhouse is preparing to saddle up her Sydney Cup third placegetter Older Than Time and her in-form Savabeel gelding Tullamore.

While Older Than Time is one the $151 roughie in this year’s Melbourne Cup betting markets at Luxbet, the very honest Tullamore is at a much shorter, but still generous, price of $26.

Tullamore has been one of the best performing gallopers of the past three weeks.

Atoning for their eighth place finish to Melbourne Cup rival The Verminator ($101 Luxbet) in The Metropolitan in Sydney, Tullamore ran an excellent Caulfield Cup third behind Southern Speed and Green Moon on October 15.

They backed up just seven days later and ran an eye-catching second to reigning winner, defending champ and current Melbourne Cup favourite Americain ($4.40 Luxbet) in the Moonee Valley Cup (2500m).

Scratched from last Saturday’s The Lexus Stakes after looking all but assured of a spot in the 24-horse Melbourne Cup field, which proved true, Tullamore has just over a week’s rest to freshen up for their spring grand final, but do they have it in them?

If successful Tullamore will join Bart Cummings’ 12th Melbourne Cup winner Viewed (2008) in taking out the Brisbane Cup – Melbourne Cup double, becoming just the second horse in history to achieve the rare feat.

See below for the Races.com.au Melbourne Cup form analysis on Tullamore, looking at the evidence for and against this galloper winning Tuesday’s feature.

#22 Tullamore – Horse Form

  • Jockey: Chris Munce
  • Trainer: Gai Waterhouse
  • Owners: Mr D A Henderson, Mr R R Aujard, Mr A J Burnes, Mr B A Stracey, Mr F Crews, Mr J P Nugent, Mr K R Wood, Mr L J Gartner, Mr R M Herron, Mr J B Bongiorno
  • Age: 5YO
  • Gender: Gelding
  • Breeding: by Savabeel from Trocair
  • Career: 24:5-7-4
  • Prize Money: $621,492
  • Track: 0-0-0-0
  • Distance: 0-0-0-0
  • Current Melbourne Cup Odds: $26 – Bet now at Luxbet

Why Tullamore Can Be the 2011 Melbourne Cup Winner –

  • Drawn well mid-field in barrier 12, gives jockey options depending on the pace and how this big field runs and in the past decade barriers 9 – 12 have produced four winners
  • Is the right age as a 5YO as five-year-olds share the record with four-year-olds for the most Melbourne Cup winners with 43 each
  • Jockey Chris Munce is a former Melbourne Cup winning hoop having saluted aboard Jezabeel (1998)
  • In a nice connecting fact, Munce rode Tullamore’s sire Savabeel to their 2004 Cox Plate success
  • Can win on any ground with a trio of Good track wins, form on Dead ground, two minor palcings on Slow tracks and a Heavy track success
  • Carried 57kg in the Moonee Valley Cup, goes into the Melbourne Cup with just 52kg and meet Americain 6kg better this time instead of just 1kg
  • Was purchased by Waterhouse at the start of the year from New Zealand on the advice of her husband Rob that he would make a nice Melbourne Cup horse

Why Tullamore Won’t Be the 2011 Melbourne Cup Winner –

  • May have only been up since early September, but they raced in two testing races in two weeks with their Caulfield Cup third and Moonee Valley Cup second and while they were off on Saturday thanks to their Lexus scratching, they could still be getting to the end of their prep
  • Queries over the Caulfield Cup form this year as winner Southern Speed could only finish fourth in the Mackinnon and runner-up Green Moon was found out trying to lead all the way in the Lexus finishing second last
  • Hasn’t won a race since the Brisbane Cup at Eagle Farm on June 11
  • Have never raced at Flemington
  • Will be their first start at the distance
  • Viewed (2008) is the only horse in the Melbourne Cup’s 150 year history to complete the Brisbane Cup – Melbourne Cup double in the same year

Like what you’ve read in Tullamore’s form and fancy a punt on them in the Melbourne Cup but you’re just a little unsure whether they will run first or second?

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