Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
On Saturday Australia’s poster racehorse Black Caviar will strut into Moonee Valley and take on a diminutive and inferior field of fellow sprinters in the 2011 Schweppes Stakes, and while it is obvious to all that she will win and hit victory No. 15, there are also bets being taken on whether she will break the track record.
Set to jump the shortest odds-on favourite in an Australian Group race in five decades, Peter Moody’s champion mare Black Caviar is at a superstar quote of $1.04 at Luxbet to win the $300,000 Group 2 Schweppes Stakes (1200m) for the second successive year.
She faces only four rivals, the best of which is a former Australian Horse of the Year that hasn’t raced in nearly 12 months, Scenic Blast.
So yes, the $1.04 on Black Caviar to win the Schweppes Stakes is deserved and yes she will salute.
But can she do it in record time?
This is the question being asked by Australia’s premier online bookmaker Luxbet who are offering exclusive Schweppes Stakes betting special markets including their ‘Against The Clock – Schweppes Stakes Track Record’ odds.
The favoured Schweppes Stakes 2011 result is that the race will be won under track record time, which is paying $1.15 at Luxbet, while a win in record time is paying a generous $5.50.
The current Moonee Valley 1200 metre track record belongs to the former Lee Freedman-trained mare Miss Andretti who won the 2006 Manikato Stakes, overcoming barrier 13 of 13 on a Good rated track, in a blistering time of 1:09.26.
While Black Caviar isn’t out to break any records on Saturday, she is just there to win and move towards her spring grand final of the $1 million Group 1 Patianck Farm Classic (1200m) at Flemington on Emirates Stakes Day on November 5, it would surprise few if she didn’t win in a similar or better time to the fastest recorded.
Black Caviar has raced over 1200 metres 10 times to date, the fastest of which was an incredible 1:07.36 for her victory in the Group 1 Newmarket Handicap at Flemington on March 12 of this year.
The Newmarket was promoted as the race that if Black Caviar could be beaten it would happen in as she ran under Handicap conditions for the first time carting a heft 58kg.
She was never in any trouble, however, as she coasted to an authoritative three length win over Crystal Lily on a Good (3) track.
The time, although better than the Moonee Valley record, did not break the Flemington 1200 metre record of 1:07.16 held by Iglesia.
Looking at Black Caviar’s winning times at Moonee Valley, then, will give punters a better guide on whether to back her to break the record on Saturday through Luxbet.
Four times Black Caviar has raced at the Valley, each time over 1200 metres, and her times are as follows:
- 1:11.15 – Listed Arrow Training Services Plate (1200m) – 22/08/2009 – Good Track – Won by 4 lengths
- 1:10.18 – Group 2 Australia Stakes (1200m) – 22/01/2010 – Good Track – Won by 2.5 lengths
- 1:11.01 – Group 2 Schweppes Stakes (1200m) – 23/10/2010 – Dead (4) Track – Won by 5.5 lengths
- 1:10.00 – Group 1 William Reid Stakes (1200m) – 25/03/2011 – Good (3) Track – Won by 1.8 lengths
As you can see Black Caviar’s fastest recorded time over 1200 metres at Moonee Valley is 1:10.00.
She is more than capable on improving on this, especially when racing on a Dead Track on Saturday in a four-horse field.
That’s why the Races.com.au are taking the juicy $5.50 price on the Schweppes Stakes Track Record being broken through Luxbet.
Whether you think the Schweppes Stakes winner will take out the race faster or slower than the current record, both results are paying better odds than a flat-out win from Black Caviar so head to Luxbet and check out their Cox Plate Day specials for value.
2011 Schweppes Stakes Betting Special
Moonee Valley Race 5 – 22/10/2011
Against The Clock – Schweppes Stakes Track Record
*Odds correct at time of publication – check Luxbet for updates and to bet now
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