Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
The next horse to race their way into the history books by winning Australasia’s weight-for-age championship, the Cox Plate, will be discovered at Moonee Valley this Saturday and to help our readers uncover which runners to hit and which to dismiss the Races.com.au have provided a comprehensive 2011 Cox Plate form guide analysis and betting preview below.
Running as Moonee Valley Race 8 at 5:35pm (AEDST), the $3 million Group 1 Tatts Cox Plate (2040m) currently features a full field of 14 starters.
On Wednesday second emergency Yosei was withdrawn due to a leg injury and after #2 Descarado was officially scratched from the 2011 Cox Plate field on Thursday, the Mark Webb-trained mare Avienus moved up from first emergency to final starter.
If no other hopefuls withdraw, it will be the first time since 2005 that the Cox Plate is run at capacity, meaning this year there is more form, facts and stats to consider than in recent years.
Unlike last year when all the pre-race hype was on one horse and one horse only, eventual dual Cox Plate winner So You Think, this year seems to be a much more even affair.
In a field with no genuine weight-for-age standout it would be tempting to have a gut-guess-bet to pick the Cox Plate winner.
The line-up and betting markets at Luxbet may be fairly open, but don’t throw your wagering dollars away.
To have the best chance of cleaning out the bookies with your Cox Plate 2011 bets, punters need to know the form on the runners and evaluate their claims looking at everything from where they are drawn in the field, what races they have come via and what the betting facts and history says.
Can 49.5kg lightweight and $3.20 Luxbet favourite Helmet win the Cox Plate as a three-year-old?
Will the addition of blinkers have Luxbet market mover Rekindled Interest sharp enough for an upset?
Does the controversial addition to the field, former Melbourne Cup winner Efficient have any claims for a Cox Plate victory?
Who are the smokys in the field that could bet the value bets of the spring?
Races.com.au readers don’t have to do their own form guide research as we have done the hard work for you.
See below where we have compiled a useful list of the best 2011 Cox Plate form guide and betting facts and stats.
Once you’ve improved your knowledge on the Cox Plate field, put it to good use by backing your selections at the best prices through Luxbet.
2011 Cox Plate Form Facts & Betting Stats
- Last year’s Cox Plate winner So You Think jumped from barrier five with Steven Arnold in the mount; this year #1 Efficient ($21 Luxbet) is drawn in gate five and Arnold has the mount on #10 Shamrocker ($41 Luxbet)
- Other runners to be ridden by a former Cox Plate winning jockey on Saturday are #1 Efficient (Steven King), #3 Wall Street (Darren Beadman), #4 Glass Harmonium (Damien Oliver), #11 Pinker Pinker (Craig Williams) and #13 King’s Rose (Luke Nolen)
- Twelve months ago So You Think, who also saluted in the 2009 Cox Plate, came off three straight Group 1 wins before tacking out the Cox having won the Memsie Stakes, Underwood Stakes and Yalumba Stakes
- This year the Memsie Stakes was won by Cox Plate Horse #13 King’s Rose ($12 Luxbet), the Underwood by Cox Plate Horse #7 Lion Tamer ($15 Luxbet) and the Yalumba by Cox Plate scratching #2 Descarado
- Cox Plate betting long-shots #15 Avienus ($61 Luxbet) and #3 Wall Street ($71 Luxbet) are the only horses in the field that ran in the feature last year, Avienus having finishing sixth and Wall Street seventh
- #14 Helmet boasts the highest Win Rate of the field – an impressive 66.67% – followed by #6 Sincero (64.71%), #5 Jimmy Choux (57.14%) and #13 King’s Rose (53.33%)
- The best Place Percentages of the field belong to #14 Helmet (100%), #12 Secret Admirer (87.50%), #5 Jimmy Choux (85.71%) and #8 Playing God (73.68%)
- There are three last-start winners in the race with #5 Jimmy Choux (2040m, Hastings, 01/10/2011), #12 Secret Admirer (1600m, Randwick, 01/10/2011) and #14 Helmet (1600m, Caulfield, 08/10/2011)
- Jimmy Choux’s last-start win is the only one of these three that doesn’t come with a hoodoo; if successful race favourite #14 Helmet ($3.20) would be the first horse to win the Caulfield Guineas – Cox Plate double in the same season since Red Anchor (1984) while #12 Secret Admirer would become just the third Epsom Handicap winner in history to win the Cox Plate in the same spring
- Only two of the Cox Plate hopes have won at the Track & Distance with #1 Efficient (2-1-0-0) and #9 Rekindled Interest (1-1-0-0)
- Horses with the best record over 2000m/2040m are: #1 Efficient (6-2-0-0), #3 Wall Street (2-1-0-0), #4 Glass Harmonium (8-2-1-2), #5 Jimmy Choux (3-3-0-0), #9 Rekindled Interest (2-1-0-0) and #13 King’s Rose (2-2-0-0)
- Cox Plate horses to have run and won at Moonee Valley are: #1 Efficient (3-1-0-0), #9 Rekindled Interest (3-2-0-0), #13 King’s Rose (1-1-0-0) and #15 Avienus (7-1-0-1)
- 6YO’s have the best recent record winning four of the past 10 Cox Plates; six-year-olds in contention this year are #4 Glass Harmonium ($13 Luxbet) and #15 Avienus ($61 Luxbet)
- History is against Avienus as a mare, however, as there have been only four female Cox Plate winners in the past 27 years with Makybe Diva (2005), Sunline (2000 & 1999) and Dane Ripper (1997)
- Six of the past 10 Cox Plate winners were geldings; geldings out to continue this trend in 2011 are #1 Efficient ($21 Luxbet), #3 Wall Street ($71 Luxbet), #6 Sincero ($21 Luxbet) and #9 Rekindled Interest ($6.50 Luxbet)
Stay tuned to Races.com.au for our insider Cox Plate betting tips based on the above form analysis, to be published later in the week.
If you can’t wait and want to get in on the action now, simply head to Luxbet and open your new account with Australia’s ace online bookie and receive a bonus $500 bet when you quote the promo code BONUSBET once you’ve made your initial deposit!
2011 Cox Plate Field & Form Guide
Moonee Valley Race 8 – 22/10/2011
|1.||EFFICIENT||Robert Hickmott||Steven King||5||59||8yoG||20||$207,433||22: 7 0 0||31.82%||31.82%||591×08|
|2.||DESCARADO||Ms G Waterhouse||Nash Rawiller||9||59||5yoG||14||$123,885||21: 5 6 1||23.81%||57.14%||626×91|
|3.||WALL STREET||J R Lynds||Darren Beadman||7||59||7yoG||14||$51,895||26: 11 4 0||42.31%||57.69%||00×044|
|4.||GLASS HARMONIUM||M D Moroney||Damien Oliver||4||59||6yoH||20||$36,720||19: 4 5 2||21.05%||57.89%||312242|
|5.||JIMMY CHOUX||J G Bary||Jonathan Riddell||10||57.5||4yoH||21||$74,034||21: 12 4 2||57.14%||85.71%||16×211|
|6.||SINCERO||S Farley||Chris O’Brien||6||57.5||4yoG||14||$83,279||17: 11 1 0||64.71%||70.59%||011185|
|7.||LION TAMER||M P Baker||Hugh Bowman||16||57.5||4yoH||14||$93,367||14: 6 1 1||42.86%||57.14%||21×418|
|8.||PLAYING GOD||N D Parnham||Steven Parnham||15||57.5||4yoH||14||$56,549||19: 6 4 4||31.58%||73.68%||x24536|
|9.||REKINDLED INTEREST||J T Conlan||Dwayne Dunn||3||57.5||4yoG||20||$42,245||11: 3 1 0||27.27%||36.36%||5×2415|
|10.||SHAMROCKER||D T O’brien||Steven Arnold||1||55.5||4yoM||20||$123,493||16: 4 2 2||25.00%||50.00%||12×807|
|11.||PINKER PINKER||G Eurell||Craig Williams||12||55.5||4yoM||21||$44,125||15: 5 2 2||33.33%||60.00%||3×5122|
|12.||SECRET ADMIRER||G M Begg||Brenton Avdulla||8||55.5||4yoM||21||$80,254||8: 3 2 2||37.50%||87.50%||1×2241|
|13.||KING’S ROSE||P G Moody||Luke Nolen||2||55.5||4yoM||14||$41,044||15: 8 2 0||53.33%||66.67%||47×112|
|14.||HELMET||Peter Snowden||Kerrin Mc Evoy||11||49.5||3yoC||14||$167,061||9: 6 0 3||66.67%||100.00%||1×3311|
|15.||AVIENUS||M C Webb||Brad Rawiller||14||57||6yoM||14||$17,090||31: 5 7 2||16.13%||45.16%||x00922|
|16.||YOSEI||S J Webb||SCR||13||55.5||4yoM||14||$50,082||18: 4 1 1||22.22%||33.33%||601007|
Form Guide Credit Ladbrokes.com.au
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