2011 Cox Plate chance Lion Tamer – Jekyll or Hyde?

Lion Tamer

Lion Tamer

Lion Tamer, the New Zealand entire is big odds for the 2011 $3m Group 1 W S Cox Plate (2040m) at Moonee Valleyon Saturday but the bookmakers might be unknowingly generous.

Lion Tamer is quickly becoming the Jekyll and Hyde of racing – his best is fabulous and the worst is dreadful.

And the Australian racing fan has seen both in just two starts during the spring carnival.

2011 W S Cox Plate – Horse profile.

7 Lion Tamer (barrier 16) 57.5kg

  • Four year old bay horse
  • Record: 14 starts 6 wins 1 second 1 third
  • Winning distance range 1100m to 2500m
  • Best win: 2010 Group 1 Victoria Derby 2500m at Flemington
  • Trainer: Murray Baker, Cambridge NZ
  • Jockey, Hugh Bowman.
  • Latest price Luxbet $15.

Two starts back he won the Group 1 Underwood Stakes (1800m) at Caulfield at $16 in easy fashion taking care of subsequent Caulfield Cup winner Southern Speed.

The win was no fluke, in fact it showed Lion Tamer had come back as a four year old as a serious horse – he was promoted high in the betting for the 2011 Cox Plate.

Then as the $2.60 favourite at the same track and pretty much the same conditions he settled near the tail, made a run before the turn and gave it away in the final 300m.

Suddenly, the  highly raced Kiwi was badly looked upon – the Underwood a forgotten race.

Perhaps the fact he is an entire is causing that inconsistent thought in his head, but it isn’t unusual in his career.

In New Zealand, he ran ninth in the Sires’ Produce and then won the Champagne Stakes.

He ran 11th in the Foxbridge and then came to Sydney and won the Ming Dynasty.

What you can say about Lion Tamer is on his day he is outstanding as seen by his six and a half length win in the Victoria Derby last year.

One other thing we can say is that he bounces back after a bad run.

So can he win the 2011 Cox Plate?

On his Underwood Stakes win the answer is definitely and that is the race we should be judging him on.

His overall record is fine with six wins form 14 starts. He also handles wet and dry ground and he finished second to Rekindled Interest in the AAMI Vase at Moonee Valley last year.

It would be no surprise if that race result is similar to this one.

On track to the Melbourne Cup where he must be given a descent hope, Lion Tamer has shown the class to be the 2011 Cox Plate winner.

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