The Caulfield Cup 2011 is due to take place this Saturday, October 15, and here the Races.com.au team take a look over the recent betting history and winning trends of the world’s richest 2400-metre handicap to reveal which horse statistically has the best chance of success in tomorrow’s clash.
A capacity field of 18 starters plus four emergency runners make up the 2011 Caulfield Cup field, the $2.5 million Group 1 showdown set to run as Caulfield Race 8 at 4:05pm (EDT)on Saturday.
Domesky looks a nice roughie to include in 2011 Caulfield Cup exotics
Easing favourite in the Caulfield Cup odds at Luxbet is the Mark Kavanagh-trained December Draw.
The in-form European import, who comes off a gritty win in the Group 1 Turnbull Stakes (2000m) at Flemington on October 2, is the obvious form pick of the field despite December Draw racing over the 2400m for the first time tomorrow.
Opening at a quote of $2.25 in the betting, the five-year-old has since drifted out to $2.40 as the punters start to come for a number of their Caulfield Cup rivals.
But what does the recent Caulfield Cup history tell us? Do favourites have a good record in the feature and should we back December Draw to win tomorrow? Or is there value to be found in a longer-priced Caulfield Cup starter?
Below are some important Caulfield Cup betting trends and statistics to help with your 2011 Caulfield Cup selections including the age and sex of horses with the best Caulfield Cup winning record.
Caulfield Cup Betting Trends & Statistics:
4YO’s have the best recent Caulfield Cup winning record with 10 in the past 17 years; four-year-olds looking to continue the trend this year are:
- #8 Shootoff ($41 Luxbet)
- #12 Absolutely ($17 [luxet])
- #15 Domesky ($101 Luxbet)
- #18 Southern Speed ($14 Luxbet)
- #22e Midnight Martini ($201 Luxbet)
Over the past 10 years geldings have dominated with five wins; geldings in contention on Saturday are:
- #1 Mighty High ($9.50 Luxbet)
- #2 Drunken Sailor ($19 Luxbet)
- #3 Manighar ($19 Luxbet)
- #6 Precedence ($31 Luxbet)
- #7 Hawk Island ($26 Luxbet)
- #9 December Draw ($2.40 Luxbet)
- #10 Saptapadi ($21 Luxbet)
- #11 Tullamore ($17 Luxbet)
- #13 Dream Pedlar ($81 Luxbet)
- #14 Niwot ($51 Luxbet)
- #15 Domesky ($101 Luxbet)
- #17 Macedonian ($61 Luxbet)
- #19e Spechenka ($301 Luxbet)
- #20e Lucky Eighty Eight ($201 Luxbet)
- #21e Anudjawun ($201 Luxbet)
There is only one 4YO Gelding in the line-up with:
- #15 Domesky ($101 Luxbet)
Only two Caulfield Cup winners in the past 17 years were mares with Ethereal (2001) and Arctic Scent (1996); three mares have been accepted this year with:
Only five Caulfield Cup favourites have started at $2.50 or shorter in the race’s history, three of which saluted for the punters with Tulloch ($1.65 in 1957), Manfred ($2.25 in 1926) and Eurythmic ($2.50 in 1925); this year #9 December Draw ($2.40 Luxbet) is set to be the sixth to start and possibly fourth to win at these odds
Four of the past five Caulfield Cup winners claimed an upset, starting $13 or better in the betting with last year’s winner Descarado ($17), Viewed ($13 in 2009), Tawqeet ($17 in 2006) and All The Good ($41 in 2008); only four horses are under $13 in the current Caulfield Cup odds with:
Looking at the above Caulfield Cup betting information and facts, we believe a great value roughie to include in you Caulfield Cup exotics this year is Domesky at $101 through Luxbet to win and paying $24.53 to place.
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