This afternoon at 3:40pm (EDT) Caulfield Racecourse will host the latest Group 1 feature of the Melbourne Spring Racing Carnival, and while Atlantic Jewel will start odds-on favourite in the Thousand Guineas 2011, money has started to come for two other fillies in the field.
Programmed as Caulfield Race 6, the $500,000 Group 1 Schweppes Thousand Guineas (1600m) originally drew a final field of 12 three-year-old fillies.
Edward Manifold Stakes winner Mosheen is one of the 2011 Thousand Guineas market movers
There are 11 that remain in contention, however, after the early scratching of #7 Manhattan Maid.
Darren Weir’s Choisir filly Manhattan Maid was an $81 outsider in the 2011 Thousand Guineas odds at Luxbet and was drawn in barrier five with Michelle Payne, who rode Yosei to victory in the feature 12 months ago, engaged.
With Manhattan Maid withdrawn from the Thousand Guineas field, seven remaining contenders will all move in one starting position including the two betting market movers Mosheen and Hallowell Belle who are now due to jump from barriers nine and eight respectively.
Five of the past eight Thousand Guineas betting favourites have saluted for the punters and the filly out to continue the outstanding recent record of the favourites today is the Mark Kavanagh-trained Atlantic Jewel.
Undefeated to date and drawn to perfection in barrier four, Fastnet Rock filly Atlantic Jewel has dominated the Thousand Guineas odds since markets opened and is currently at a Fixed Win price of $1.50 through Luxbet.
In the past decade two Thousand Guineas winners started in odds-on territory with Alinghi ($1.70 in 2004) and Miss Finland ($1.90 in 2006), and while Atlantic Jewel is as yet untested in A-grade company or over the mile, Kavanagh remains confident she will become the third.
“She has always shown us that she has outstanding potential,” he said.
“I’m more than happy with her.
“Look, she hasn’t run at the trip, but I think she will run it.”
Atlantic Jewel has been ridden by three separate jockeys for her three career starts to date, and today it is Michael Rodd taking the mount from gate four.
Rodd was aboard for Atlantic Jewel’s second career victory when she overcame the outside barrier 11 of 11 to cruise around a quality field and bolt home for a strong win over fellow Thousand Guineas rival Sharnee Rose ($15 out to $21 in Thousand Guineas Luxbet odds) in a 1200m fillies-only sprint at Monee Valley on September 10.
Having also partnered with her recently for a number of track gallops, Rodd too is confident Atlantic Jewel won’t be found out over the 1600 metres.
“I’ll guarantee she’ll run the distance,” he said.
“She is a big, rangy filly, she will run the mile right out.”
While there is plenty in the favourite’s favour for today’s clash, punters have started to crunch two of Atlantic Jewel’s rivals in the Thousand Guineas Fixed Odds at Luxbet.
2011 Thousand Guineas Betting Market Movers:
- #1 Mosheen (in from $5.50 to $4.80 Luxbet) – Robert Smerdon’s smart filly presents the biggest danger even form her awkward gate, won the Group 2 Edward Manifold Stakes over the Flemington mile last start and is out to become the 15th filly to complete the Edward Manifold – Thousand Guineas double
- #2 Hallowell Belle (in from $15 to $12 at Luxbet) – Peter Moody-trained daughter of Starcraft comes off four second place finishes in black-types including to Streama over 1600m in the Group 1 Flight Stakes, and history shows that seven of the past eight Thousand Guineas placed in their three lead-up runs
See below for the latest Thousand Guineas 2011 odds that punters can lock in right now at Australia’s No. 1 online bookmaker Luxbet.
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Thousand Guineas 2011 Odds
Caulfield Race 6 – 12/10/2011
| # | Horse | Open | Odds* |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mosheen | 5.50 | 4.80 |
| 2 | Hallowell Belle | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| 3 | Bliss Street | 19.00 | 19.00 |
| 4 | Cute Emily | 26.00 | 41.00 |
| 5 | Dipsutes | 41.00 | 51.00 |
| 6 | Celebrity Girl | 21.00 | 26.00 |
| 7 | Manhattan Maid | - | - |
| 8 | Atlantic Jewel | 1.50 | 1.50 |
| 9 | Kneeling | 61.00 | 51.00 |
| 10 | Crucial | 101.00 | 101.00 |
| 11 | Sharnee Rose | 15.00 | 21.00 |
| 12 | Rahveel | 51.00 | 61.00 |
*Fixed Win Odds correct at time of publication – see Luxbet for updates and to bet now!
