Thousand Guineas 2011 Form Guide Analysis, Tips & Selections

On Wednesday the 2011 Thousand Guineas will light up Caulfield Racecourse, and for smart punters looking to place the winning bets on the three-year-old fillies’ feature, below the Races.com.au team have the best Thousand Guineas form guide selections and betting analysis.

Atlantic Jewel

Atlantic Jewel is the Races.com.au tip to win the 2011 Thousand Guineas

The $500,000 Group 1 Schweppes Thousand Guineas (1600m) is scheduled to run as Caulfield Race 6 at 3:40pm (EDT) and there are 12 classy fillies engaged to do the form on.

Overwhelming favourite in the Thousand Guineas 2011 odds at Luxbet is Mark Kavanagh’s unbeaten daughter of Fastnet Rock Atlantic Jewel at a quote of $1.50.

Although her 100% Win Rate is impressive, Atlantic Jewel is yet to race against top-shelf rivals.

So, can the favourite salute for the punters and become the sixth to do so in the past nine years? Or will one of the longer-priced Thousand Guineas acceptors claim an upset at juicy odds?

When placing your Thousand Guineas bets at Luxbet it is important to know all there is to know on the fillies and their form. Which in the field come off a last-start victory and which have the best strike rate?

Also, knowing the Thousand Guineas betting history and trends will help when making your selections such as what the most successful Thousand Guineas barriers and jockeys are.

Sounds like hard work right? That’s where the Races.com.au crew come in. We have done the Thousand Guineas 2011 form guide and betting analysis for you so all you have to do is read the facts and stats below and then head to Luxbet to place your bets before race time!

2011 Thousand Guineas Form Guide Facts & Betting Stats:

  • Race favourite #8 Atlantic Jewel ($1.50 Luxbet) has the highest Win Rate of the field on 100% followed by her stablemate #6 Celebrity Girl (50%) and #3 Bliss Street (44.44%)
  • The best Place Percentages belong to #8 Atlantic Jewel (100%), #2 Hallowell Belle (100%) and #11 Sharnee Rose (100%)
  • As the favourite things are in Atlantic Jewel’s favour with five of the past eight favourites having taken out the race, including two odds-on with Alinghi ($1.70 in 2004) and Miss Finland ($1.90 in 2006)
  • Barrier five has produced the most Thousand Guineas winners (four) in recent years; #7 Manhattan Maid ($81 Luxbet) is drawn in gate five this year
  • There are three last-start winners engaged with #1 Mosheen (1600m, Flemington, 02/10/2011), #5 Disputes (1400m, Rosehill, 24/09/2011) and #8 Atlantic Jewel (1400m, Caulfield, 24/09/2011)
  • 14 fillies have won the Edward Manifold Stakes – Thousand Guineas double, #1 Mosheen ($5.50 Luxbet) vies for the double this year
  • Seven of the past eight Thousand Guineas winners – Yosei last year being the exception – all placed in their three lead-up runs going into the race; fillies this year who have finished in the top three in their most recent three runs are #2 Hallowell Bell ($13 Luxbet), #8 Atlantic Jewel ($1.50 Luxbet) and #11 Sharnee Rose ($21 Luxbet)
  • #12 Rahveel ($41 Luxbet) will be ridden by the most successful Thousand Guineas jockey in recent years, four-time champion Damien Oliver
  • Other fillies this year to be ridden by former Thousand Guineas winning hoops are #1 Mosheen (Danny Nikolic), #7 Manhattan Maid (Michelle Payne), #9 Kneeling (Craig Williams), #10 Crucial (Steven King) and #3 Bliss Street (Steven Arnold)
  • Fillies to have won at the Caulfield Track are #1 Mosheen (3-1-0-2), #3 Bliss Street (1-1-0-0), #4 Cute Emily (3-1-0-0), #7 Manhattan Maid (2-1-0-0) and #8 Atlantic Jewel (1-1-0-0)
  • The only Thousand Guineas hopes to have won over the mile are #1 Mosheen (1-1-0-0) and #12 Rahveel (2-1-0-0)

Based on the above Thousand Guineas form and info, the Races.com.au team believe odds-on favourite Atlantic Jewel will be hard to beat and will be backing her to win through Luxbet.

Races.com.au Thousand Guineas 2011 Tips:

  • Trifecta Tip: #8 Atlantic Jewel to beat #2 Hallowell Belle and #1 Mosheen – Bet now at Luxbet
  • First Four Inclusion: #3 Bliss Street – Lock in the Exotic at Luxbet now
  • Roughie Bet: #7 Manhattan Maid – Worth a sneaky Each Way bet at Luxbet

To lock in our selections for the Thousand Guineas at the best prices, head to Luxbet and open an account with Australia’s ace online bookmaker quoting the code BONUSBET to also receive a bonus $500 bet.

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2011 Thousand Guineas Field & Form Guide

Caulfield Race 6 – 12/10/2011

No. Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Age/Sex Days API Career Win% Place% Last 6
1. MOSHEEN R W Smerdon Danny Nikolic 10 55.5 3yoF 10 $140,200 6: 2 1 2 33.33% 83.33% 2×3531
2. HALLOWELL BELLE P G Moody Luke Nolen 9 55.5 3yoF 11 $49,566 8: 1 6 1 12.50% 100.00% x12222
3. BLISS STREET D L Morton Steven Arnold 8 55.5 3yoF 10 $34,983 9: 4 1 2 44.44% 77.78% 1×1612
4. CUTE EMILY P G Moody Craig Newitt 1 55.5 3yoF 12 $23,604 7: 3 1 0 42.86% 57.14% 1×0442
5. DISPUTES Peter Snowden Kerrin Mc Evoy 11 55.5 3yoF 18 $15,681 8: 1 1 2 12.50% 50.00% 562×81
6. CELEBRITY GIRL M A Kavanagh Corey Brown 2 55.5 3yoF 10 $30,935 4: 2 0 1 50.00% 75.00% 1×143
7. MANHATTAN MAID D K Weir Michelle Payne 5 55.5 3yoF 10 $20,771 7: 2 1 0 28.57% 42.86% 1×0886
8. ATLANTIC JEWEL M A Kavanagh Michael Rodd 4 55.5 3yoF 18 $30,742 3: 3 0 0 100.00% 100.00% 111
9. KNEELING John Thompson Craig Williams 7 55.5 3yoF 18 $24,767 3: 1 1 0 33.33% 66.67% 217
10. CRUCIAL Anthony Freedman Steven King 12 55.5 3yoF 18 $6,304 6: 2 1 1 33.33% 66.67% x12x14
11. SHARNEE ROSE M Ellerton and S Zahra Dwayne Dunn 6 55.5 3yoF 18 $8,550 4: 0 3 1 0.00% 100.00% 2×223
12. RAHVEEL L J Corstens Damien Oliver 3 55.5 3yoF 10 $5,681 4: 1 0 0 25.00% 25.00% 7714

*Form Guide Credit – Ladbrokes.com.au