2010 Patinack Farm Classic Preview – Black Caviar or Hay List

November 6, 2010

2010 Patinack Farm Classic Preview – Black Caviar or Hay List

Black Caviar vs Hay List, what a showdown. The Patinack Farm Classic really is one of the top billings of the Flemington spring racing carnival, just behind the Melbourne Cup itself. Currently Black Caviar is at $1.80 and Hay List is at the juicy odds of $3.0, but how do they really line up against each other?

The Peter Moody trained unbeaten superstar Black Caviar has had 7 starts and has won them all, she has never been stretched winning all her starts with something in hand. First up this preparation she won over 1000 meters at her home track of Caulfield in the slick time of 56.68 in a Group 2 event. This was followed up with soft 5.5 length win over top Group 1 winning mare Hot Danish on a dead track at Moonee Valley over 1200 meters in the time of 1.11.1 with the last 600 meters in 35.26. The $1.80 odds that she opened at are the best odds she has been since her very first race start, reports are she has done very well since her Moonee Valley run and the Moody camp is confident the mare can win. She is yet to win in this company at Group 1 level but they have got nowhere near the bottom of this mare. Currently Black Caviar is at $1.65 with Luxbet.

The monster horse Hay List, trained by John McNair, has had a few set backs but rest assured there is zero chance he would be lining up if he wasn’t right, its not about the money its purely for bragging rights and they want their horse to continue on his winning way. Hay List won the Group 1 Manikato Stakes two runs ago around the Moonee Valley racecourse on a good track in the fast time of 1.09.94 and home the last 600 meters in a staggering 34.2 around the Valley. He then came out and won the Group 2 Gilgai Stakes up the straight at Flemington on a dead track, eased down in the time of 1.08.20 and home in 33.66, probably would have smashed the track record on a good track. Currently at the very attractive odds of $3.20 with Luxbet he is going to prove very hard to beat. Was working well until a minor mishap where he hurt his leg on a drinking trough but by all reports has come through this fine and McNair was commenting this morning that the horse is fine himself and he is happy to run and there are no excuses on their end.

Our thinking is despite the set back Hay List has had, he wouldn’t start unless he was right. Connections always put the interests of the horse first especially when it’s one as good as this. He has won at Group 1 level before and the times he is running in winning these races with contempt are incredible, he will be up and running and ensuring the race is run with pressure all the way. We think he will just break Black Caviar and wouldn’t be surprised if the Flemington track record is broken in the process.

At current odds of $3.20 its too good to pass up Hay List with Tabcorps bookmaking arm Luxbet. With Luxbets free $400 bet offer continuing today to all new members it makes the decision pretty easy, deposit $200 get a free $400 bet and plonk it on Hay List. Of course if you only want to put in $100 you will get a $200 free bet or $25 for a $50 free bet etc.

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