Will Once Were Wild Score A Melbourne Cup Upset?

November 1, 2010

DEPOSIT $100 to get

$250

*In Bonus-bets

View Offers

deposit $50 bet with

$200

*In Bonus-bets

View Offers

deposit $25 to get

$75

*In Bonus-bets

View Offers

deposit $250 to get

$250

*In Bonus-bets

View Offers

Will Once Were Wild Score A Melbourne Cup Upset?

Once Were Wild is looking a decent outside chance at Melbourne Cup glory, but can she really win the race that stops a nation? We’ll begin with everything on her side.

First of all, Once Were Wild has some good experience in distance races, including a recent third place in the 2500 metre Lexus Stakes and an earlier win in the 2400 metre AJC Oaks.

Once Were Wild will also be carrying just 51.5kg and starting from barrier 11 – statistically the most successful barrier in the Melbourne Cup. Statistics don’t mean too much considering how few Melbourne Cup runs there have been, but it’s much better to have them on your side than against you. (This may be the 150th Melbourne Cup run, but 150 runs isn’t enough to really prove any bias at all).

It seems too soon, but let’s move to what could stop Once Were Wild winning the 2010 Melbourne Cup.

We’ll start with the fact she is a mare, which is usually a disadvantage. Yes, Makybe Diva did it, but Once Were Wild is not Makybe Diva.

Next, Once Were Wild has only ever won a single Group race. That was back in April, and she hasn’t been doing too well in the runs she has been in since then. She’s been beaten by a lot of other hot prospects in this run, as well, so a win just does not seem likely.

Once Were Wild looks like she could take a place, but she won’t win. Forget about her if the track turns heavy, otherwise include her in box First Fours.

To bet now, join Luxbet! New players can claim up to a $400 free bonus bet on your first deposit by quoting the promo code ‘EXTRA400’ when you deposit.

Racing fields and data are copyright 2011-2018 © Racing Australia Pty Ltd (RA) (and other parties working with it).
Racing materials, including fields, form and results, is subject to copyright which is owned by RA and other parties working with it. Full copyright notice.

Spring Racing

Australia Day Cup Calls for 20...

2018 Gosford Guineas Winner Be...

2018 Gosford Guineas Winner Bella Martini in Tight Finish

The Hawkes Racing-trained Bella Martini held on in a thrilling late finish to...

2018 Kensington Stakes Field &...

2018 Kensington Stakes Field & Odds: Betting Wide Open

It is shaping up as a wide open edition of the Kensington Stakes 2018 at...

2018 Gosford Cup Tips & O...

2018 Gosford Cup Tips & Odds Update

This afternoon’s Gosford Cup 2018 is fast approaching and our insider tips and...

Silent Sedition Set for 2018 C...

Silent Sedition Set for 2018 Coolmore Classic Shot

A second shot at the Coolmore Classic in 2018 is on the autumn agenda for...

Race Results

Viewed Victorious in Caulfield Cup

Race 1 Result – $101 500 AGL Renewable Energy Stakes – She’s Got Gears Wins

Race 2 – $101,500 Schiavello Plate – Avienus Wins

Race 3 – $101 500 Lavazza A Modo Mio – Linton Street Wins

Race 4 Results – $151,500 Listed Herald Sun Stakes – Strawberry Field Wins

Race Previews

2009 Caulfield Cup Barrier Draw Announced

Who Are the Top Contenders for Tomorrow’s Caulfield Cup?

Victoria Derby in sight for Onemorenomore

2009 Melbourne Cup Field

Eclipse Stakes Final Field & Preview

Fields & Form

Can Kelinni Win Sydney Cup 2013 for the Punters?

Moroney Gets into Queensland Derby 2013 Rhythm

Buffering Draws 7 – 2013 BTC Cup Final Field and Barrier Draw

SA Fillies Classic 2013 Field Released

13 two-year-olds in 2013 Champagne Classic Field