Maluckyday Real Unknown in Melbourne Cup Field 2010

He may be the second favourite in the Melbourne Cup odds, but horse number 24 in the 2010 Melbourne Cup field Maluckyday is a real unknown and could be a risky bet for punters.

The Michael, Wayne and John Hawkes-trained Maluckyday has risen from relative obscurity to become the second favourite behind So You Think to win the 150th Emirates Melbourne Cup after the Zabeel four-year-old stormed home to win the Group 3 The Lexus Stakes (2500m) at Victoria Derby Day last Saturday.

The win gave Maluckyday automatic entry into the $6 million Melbourne Cup and after connections paid the final acceptance fee, the horse snuck into the field.

Now the punters are getting right behind him to cause an upset in Flemington Race 7 tomorrow, backed from $9 into $8.50 at Luxbet, trailing only the Bart Cummings-trained So You Think in the Melbourne Cup odds.

Maluckyday’s win in The Lexus on Saturday was ultra impressive, as the gelding beat home fellow Melbourne Cup rivals Linton and Once Were Wild by two lengths.

Red Ruler, Mouryan and Herculian Prince were all also in The Lexus Stakes field, unable to get anywhere near the winner.

The quality of runners he defeated and the ease in which he won instantly made Maluckyday popular with the Melbourne Cup punters.

The fact he then drew ideally with barrier six and is the 51kg lightweight of the field has seen more and more money come in for Maluckday as the Melbourne Cup countdown continues.

However, is the short price on Maluckyday to win the Melbourne Cup justified? And is he a safe horse to back in the Melbourne Cup markets?

While punters are getting on the Maluckday bandwagon in droves there are some harsh factors against him to consider:

  • This lightly-raced horse has had just eight career starts and none in Group 1 company
  • Longest distanced win was 2500m, untested over the 3200m Melbourne Cup distance
  • Unknown how he will handle a wet Flemington track
  • Big race crowd, large field and supercharged atmosphere on Melbourne Cup Day could be too much for this unseasoned runner
  • Has not been targeted specifically for the Melbourne Cup and has not had a genuine Melbourne Cup preparation

However, Maluckyday is hitting form at the right time and is carrying the same weight Shocking had aboard for his Melbourne Cup win 12 months ago.

Our tip? If the track is rated Slow or better add Maluckday into your Melbourne Cup multiples but if rain increases and the Flemington track is soft tomorrow, stick with known Slow-Heavy handlers such as Harris Tweed, Descarado and Monaco Consul.

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