Can Zavite Win The 2010 Melbourne Cup?

Zavite is an Anthony Cummings trained prospect that has drawn a reasonably good barrier. Can Zavite win the 2010 Melbourne Cup, though? We’ll begin with the factors in his favour.

As the Auckland Cup winner in March, Zavite has that rare win at 3200 metres. He also has an Adelaide Cup win last year, so a fifth of his wins have been at the Melbourne Cup distance.

A barrier 7 start is pretty good in terms of positioning, though it has only produced a Cup winner once. Nevertheless, that could help give him a place even if it doesn’t help his winning chances.

Now we’ll look at the points against Zavite.

He has already run in the Melbourne Cup last year and came nineteenth. That right there is a reason he cannot win. A mid-field finish might leave you with some hope for the future, but nineteenth would discourage most runners from coming back.

It isn’t just the Melbourne Cup, though – Zavite fails in any big Australian run. He has failed to place this season and has lost to every serious Melbourne Cup hope other than So You Think, who he has not raced against.

Finally, you don’t take an underperforming 8 year old to the Melbourne Cup. Last year’s mediocre Melbourne Cup field really must have deluded overseas trainers, as many of the foreign prospects this year have been of truly shocking quality.

Zavite has no chance in the Melbourne Cup, except maybe the chance to win the wooden spoon. Not worth a place in any bet you make on the Melbourne Cup this year.

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