Can So You Think Win The Melbourne Cup This Year?

While many are probably wondering if he can even lose the Melbourne Cup, we still think it is worth asking: can So You Think win the Melbourne Cup? Let’s begin with everything in his favour.

A win in the Cox Plate and the Mackinnon Stakes is a very good sign for So You Think’s chances. While not quite as good as a Caulfield Cup run, the recent record of So You Think has been pretty incredible.

So You Think also has a barrier 3 start and will carry a fairly reasonable 56kg. He is also a 4 year old entire horse, so he is a good chance to win or place just taking statistics into consideration.

He has proven himself able to win on a slow track in the Memsie Stakes, but not beyond this. Luckily, most signs point to the Flemington track remaining slow and not worsening to the heavy 8 it achieved on the weekend.

Being a Bart Cummings trained horse is also a tremendous Cup advantage. The Cups King has quite a few runners in the 2010 Melbourne Cup field, but So You Think is certainly the favourite chance.

If this is enough to convince you that So You Think is the winning chance, then we suggest you sign up with Luxbet to place a bet on So You Think now before the odds get any shorter!

Now, while this may be hard to believe going by how short a favourite he is becoming, So You Think does have some factors against him winning the Melbourne Cup.

First of all, he has yet to run 3200 metres in a race. While he has stayed up to 2040 metres, he has not gone close to 3200 metres in a race. Many dismiss this, but would he really have been run in the Cox Plate again rather than the Caulfield Cup if his staying power wasn’t doubted?

Next, he is unproven on a heavy track. It doesn’t seem like that will be a problem on Cup Day, but we all know that weather prediction isn’t quite exact yet. An unlucky rainy day could suppress both Cup attendance and So You Think’s performance.

Our final point for why So You Think might not win the 2010 Melbourne Cup is that his style has been quite repetitive recently. Steve Arnold has kept him 1 or 2 behind the frontrunner until the final turn, and then made very well-timed runs home. One has to wonder whether other jockeys will counter this, especially in a larger field where So You Think will have to fight hard for position.

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