While Mr Medici’s Caulfield Cup run didn’t really impress anyone, we think it’s still worth asking whether Mr Medici can win the Melbourne Cup? Let’s begin with what’s in his favour.
First off, he is a 5 year old entire horse, which increases his chances immensely if statistics are anything to go by. This only puts him on par with much of the field, but it at least is not disadvantageous.
Next, he has often done well at the 2400 metre mark, which is about as close to the Melbourne Cup distance as most of the runners ever get.
He also tends to handle the wet well, with some wins on slow tracks, though he suffers on a heavy track.
Now for the points against Mr Medici. To begin with, he doesn’t have much Australian experience. A so-so run in the Caulfield Cup is not adequate prep work for a good Melbourne Cup run.
Another point against Mr Medici is his difficulty with heavy tracks. If the rain keeps up at all, then this year’s Melbourne Cup will certainly not be one for Mr Medici.
Finally, Mr Medici is completely unreliable. You really cannot count on him for the win, though he does manage to place or land in the first four on a regular basis.
All up Mr Medici looks a decent chance to place if the track is slow, but he’ll bomb completely on a heavy track. If you would like to bet on Mr Medici or have any other bets in mind, we recommend you sign up with Luxbet. New players can claim a free bonus bet worth up to $400 on their first deposit by using the promo code ‘EXTRA400’ when depositing.