Murwillumbah trainer Matthew Dunn is looking...
Are you looking for some top tips for the races on Melbourne Cup Day? Then read through our thoughts for who will win and place in all ten races at Flemington on Tuesday 2nd November.
AGL SOLAR POWER STAKES – Melbourne Cup Day Race 1
A difficult race, it will pay to follow the bookmaker fluctuations and follow the horses that shorten odds in the market, this will give a good indication of stable money coming for the horses. 2 from 1 and 3 from the horses that have had a start before. Of the first starters a watch on 11, 14 and 16
SCHIAVELLO PLATE – Melbourne Cup Day Race 2
3 Aloha is rated highly and has drawn well with a good jockey, ticks most of the boxes. Although 2 Vintedge has drawn badly it shouldn’t be a disadvantage if the track is rain effected and should run a place. 4 Royal Commands is the other chance. We think Starmon and Tio Rossa are likely to start under the odds, we rate them at and consider them a bad bet.
THE LAVAZZA LONG BLACK – Melbourne Cup Day Race 3
7 Im Imposing is just that, having won first up over 2000 meters we think he is just here for raceday experience and expect to see him back here next year in the Melbourne Cup. It’s a bit of a lottery as to the place chances we suggest 4, 14, 10 and 13. We don’t like 6 or 11 who will be under the odds.
HERALD SUN STAKES – Melbourne Cup Day Race 4
15 Devils Arcade gets in good at the weights, interestingly Nash Rawiller is booked to ride stablemate 1 Montana Flyer. We think Devils Arcade is going to be good value and worth a bet each-way. Hardest to beat is 13 Jersey Lily and 4 Valentine Miss, other chances are 10, 13 and 16 in an open race. We don’t like 9 Red Flair as we think it will be well under the odds.
SCHWEPPES TONIC 1000 – Melbourne Cup Day Race 5
Hard race with 2 Stirling Grove resuming from injury, but is a good horse. We don’t mind the BC3 runner 8 Johnnydrama, we love its name, so we pick it to win over 2 and 12. We don’t like the likely favourite 6 Trudeau, Dettori cant ride it like a European stayer to win here.
LEXUS HYBRID PLATE – Melbourne Cup Day Race 6
Another tough race, we like the consistent 2 Shiny And New to beat the Snowden trained 6 Palomares, his horses are never here to make up numbers and if there is money for the Moody trained Alotta Spur just back it. What we don’t like is 1 Jesses Girl, never liked the song and don’t think the horse can win here.
EMIRATES MELBOURNE CUP – Melbourne Cup Day Race 7
In the main event, the 2010 Melbourne Cup, number 3 So You Think is all people are talking about and the champ should crush the field. He is the best horse Australia has seen in the last 20 years and he will win, rain, hail or shine (or even earthquake!) put your money on him and stand in the queue waiting to be paid out. If you want us to tell you what will finish six lengths back in second we are thinking 12 Harris Tweed, 7 Shoot Out and 15 Monaco Consul. We give other place chances to 22, 1 and 4.
We don’t like 24 Maluckyday, they should spell it for next year, nor do we like 11 Descarado, he’s won his race this year and both will be at poor value odds.
BUNDABERG DISTILLING CO. STAKES – Melbourne Cup Day Race 8
Horse 8 Firebolt is likely to start favourite and although we think he is a winning chance we don’t think he is good value. Number 2 Rock Kingdom comes into this race well and we rate it on top to beat 6 Leica Larrikin who finally gets up to a trip on a suitable track.
MSS SECURITY SPRINT – Melbourne Cup Day Race 9
Its hard to go past 6 True Persuasion who has been racing much better company than this, although it has been at his favourite track. We put him on top to beat 12 Trim who should be suited here at Flemington, and finally to cap of a great day for Bart Cummings 5 Latin News should finish in the mix. We don’t like 1 Royal Ida, he’s too old and will be poor value odds compared to others.
TAB CELEBRATING 50 YEARS HCP – Melbourne Cup Day Race 10
If you are not winning coming into this race don’t try and get out now, you can only get further in. Our recommendation is a boxed trifecta with 12, 18, 16, 19, 5 and 4, we have left out the unbeaten 1 Balavan going for some value in a very hard race.
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