Tomorrow the 2010 Caulfield Cup, the richest 2400m handicap in the world, will take place at Caulfield Racecourse and with the $2.5 million showdown set to be contested on a soft rain-affected ground we have a look at what horses can win on a wet track and the best bets to make.
Currently the Caulfield Track is heading towards a Heavy 8 Rating, so before placing a Caulfield Cup bet read on below for which horses will handle the conditions and have genuine claims to win.
#1 Shocking – $5 Sportsbet
The odds-on favourite to become the 2010 Caulfield Cup winner is Mark Kavanagh’s Shocking, currently paying $5 at Sportsbet after shortening in from $6 overnight.
Yesterday we gave a detailed report on whether Shocking Can Win the 2010 Caulfield Cup, so click on the link to discover the chances the punters’ favourite has of success tomorrow.
Briefly, the wet will suit Shocking tomorrow and he has proven form in these conditions having won the Makybe Diva Stakes on a Heavy track at Flemington last month carrying two kilos more than the 57kg he is allocated tomorrow.
This is the same weight Viewed carried to victory in the 2009 Caulfield Cup last year, Viewed also a Melbourne Cup winner the season before like Shocking.
Deserved favourite but with so many classy rivals best for an Each Way at Sportsbet
# 3 Mr Medici – $17 Sportsbet
Hong Kong stayer Mr Medici is paying very generously through Sportsbet in the Caulfield Cup odds considering how well suited this six-year-old is to the conditions.
Punters were originally wary to back the Peter Ho-trained stayer as tomorrow is his debut race Down Under, but after Ho stated how well Mr Medici has settled in Australia at Wednesday’s barrier trial, they are coming around.
Since opening at a quote of $21, Mr Medici has been backed into $17.
The $2.5 million earner likes the soft ground and is coming off a last start win in the Group 1 Charter Cup over this distance at Sha Tin on a Dead track.
In its last three starts, Mr Medici carried between 57 – 58 kilos and so dropping down to 55kg tomorrow is a real positive.
Good roughie well suited to conditions to consider adding in Box Trifectas through Sportsbet
#7 Manighar – $10 Sportsbet
European galloper Manighar is a real contender and the standout international, another Caulfield Cup runner firming in the markets having come in from $13 to $11 overnight.
The five-year-old gelding is prepared by Luca Cumani, a real maestro trainer when it comes to getting his horses to peak at the right time.
An improving stayer that has won six of his 12 career starts, all wins being over 2400m – 3000m, Manighar has a huge advantage on a soft ground and a good barrier draw with gate three.
Likely to come through at the end after sitting off the pace as is his style, could have grit to outrun them in the final strides especially with Oliver in the saddle.
Ticks all the boxes for a Caulfield Cup winner on a soft track and is the best roughie pick at double figure odds through Sportsbet.
Other horses to consider for the Caulfield Cup tomorrow include Bart Cummings’ Faint Perfume getting blinkers for the first time and the Gai Waterhouse-trained Herculian Prince who should be ok on a heavy tack and has the ideal draw to get away early and have them chasing.
Caulfield Cup hopefuls that are not suited to a soft track and that will likely struggle on the ground tomorrow are:
- # 4 Tokai Trick
- # 11 Zavite
- # 16 Jessicabeel
- #18 Dariana
In an open field and the wet conditions mixing up the form, there is lots of value in the 2010 Caulfield Cup odds this year so make sure you get in on the action and lock in the best price by signing up with Sportsbet today!
